Episodi

  • Q3 2026 Market Recap: Energy Up, Utilities Crushed, and Software Flipped | The Weekly Wrap

    Q3 2026 Market Recap: Energy Up, Utilities Crushed, and Software Flipped | The Weekly Wrap
    Oct 9 2026
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman delivers a comprehensive Q3 2026 market breakdown. He discusses why energy was the best performing sector, why utilities got crushed, and why the SAASpocalypse narrative flipped. Steve also acknowledges that over 65% of the S&P 500 is now a single bet on AI and closes with updates on FICO and Glass House Brands. 00:00 - Intro 01:53 - War in Iran, Interest Rates, & Oil Prices 02:38 - Snapshot of the Economy & Key Weaknesses Emerging 04:27 - An Analysis of the Third Quarter 18:06 - Why I Covered FICO & Sold Glass House Brands 19:02 - Mailbag: Diversifying Away From AI Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    26 min
  • 5% Rates, Bessent's Failed Gamble & What Comes Next w/ Krishna Guha | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 78

    5% Rates, Bessent's Failed Gamble & What Comes Next w/ Krishna Guha | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 78
    Oct 5 2026
    On episode 78 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Krishna Guha, Evercore's Fed watcher, to break down why the ten-year yield has marched from 4.5% to over 5%. He explains that it's a perfect storm of AI debt issuance crowding out Treasuries, war-driven oil prices, the massive deficit, and Kevin Warsh's deliberate withdrawal of the forward guidance guardrails that previous Fed chairs used. They also discuss Scott Bessent's bond buyback program and close with a fun ranking of Fed chairs. 00:00 - Intro 00:42 - Why Were Rates Raised? 03:31 - Kevin Warsh’s Changes 11:43 - The 10-Year Yield 15:20 - Forward Guidance 22:41 - Scott Bessent 29:43 - Rates, AI, & Strains on the Economy 34:27 - Rating Fed Chairmen 44:35 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    51 min
  • Why Private Equity's Software Bet Is Going to Zero | The Weekly Wrap

    Why Private Equity's Software Bet Is Going to Zero | The Weekly Wrap
    Oct 2 2026
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman covers a dramatic week for FICO, in which its decades-long mortgage monopoly effectively broke. Steve then delivers a deep dive into private equity's overexposure to software buyouts, why the SAASpocalypse has cut valuations by 50% or more, and why the refinancing wall coming in 2027 will likely wipe out equity in many of these deals. He closes with three mailbag questions covering oil-driven inflation, AI regulation, and how the Moody's securitization database gave him the confidence to short subprime paper back in 2006. 00:00 - Intro 01:59 - Iran War Updates 02:28 - More Negative News For FICO 04:20 - Analysis of Private Equity & Private Credit's Exposure to Software 18:14 - Mailbag: Raising Rates 19:48 - Mailbag: AI Regulation 20:43 - Mailbag: MBS 22:51 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    27 min
  • What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77

    What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77
    Sep 28 2026
    On episode 77 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Sam Badri, Head of Investor Relations at Cisco, for an inside look at what the AI boom actually looks like from within a major technology company. Sam explains why he believes we are still very early in AI adoption, with roughly 90% of users stuck at the basic prompt stage and very few having progressed to skills files or AI agents. 00:00 - Intro & Sam’s Background 03:35 - What Cisco Does 05:58 - Cisco Revenue Growth & What’s Changed 12:40 - How AI Factors In 14:18 - Cisco vs Arista 16:04 - The Negativity Surrounding the AI Story 29:16 - Data Center Pushback 34:24 - What Sam Brought to Cisco 36:43 - Last Word on Cisco & the Sector 40:22 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    46 min
  • The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap

    The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap
    Sep 25 2026
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman discusses why the off-balance sheet financing techniques that caused Enron's collapse and amplified the GFC are back in full force in the AI world. He also covers the Ten Year yield breaching 5.1%, Paramount being cleared for takeoff with WB, troubling news from Oracle & Blue Owl, Meta's Muse agentic AI agent, and much more. 00:00 - Intro 02:42 - War in Iran, Oil Prices, & Interest Rates 03:43 - Troubling News From Oracle & Blue Owl 04:29 - Paramount Cleared For Take Off 05:40 - Softbank Junk Borrowing 06:23 - AI Circular Financing 20:00 - Meta's Muse 22:46 - Mailbag: Shorting Against the Box 24:30 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    28 min
  • Stock Picking in Difficult Times with George Noble | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 76

    Stock Picking in Difficult Times with George Noble | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 76
    Sep 21 2026
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On episode 76 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with George Noble, former portfolio manager at Fidelity and now a Substack newsletter writer, for a wide-ranging conversation covering Scott Bessent's attempt to repress interest rates, the yen carry trade, the Tesla/SpaceX struggles, and much more. 00:00 - Intro 01:18 - Scott Bessent & Interest Rates 13:00 - The AI Ecosystem 21:35 - The Dollar Yen Trade 30:57 - The Current Investing Environment 36:33 - Tesla & SpaceX 46:14 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    51 min
  • Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

    Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
    Sep 18 2026
    Sign up for The Real Eisman Playbook Premium at https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/ On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman explains why the recent extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman are not genuine concerns about superintelligence, but rather a deliberate shell game designed to invite government regulation and create pricing moats. Steve also covers the Fed raising rates 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4%, the Senate blocking the Clarity Act, an update on his FICO short, and answers two mailbags on how individual investors can diversify away from AI exposure without abandoning equities. 00:00 - Intro 01:55 - Iran War Updates 02:14 - Fed Raises Rates 04:47 - FICO Short Update 07:08 - Crypto Takes a Hit 07:53 - The AI Extinction Warnings 15:36 - Mailbag: P&C Insurance 19:36 - Mailbag: Growth in Europe 21:03 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    25 min
  • The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75

    The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75
    Sep 14 2026
    On episode 75 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with his former Big Short partners Vincent Daniel and Porter Collins for a wide-ranging conversation covering the bond market, Scott Bessent's Treasury buyback program, the OpenAI risk, gold, and more. They also pull back the curtain on the mechanics of modern hedge fund shorting and share two live short ideas. 00:00 - Intro 00:50 - Scott Bessent & the Treasury 12:57 - AI 21:55 - Shorting 38:10 - Golar & Glass House 45:21 - Last Words Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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    53 min