Episodi

  • October 28th: The Day Iran Breaks the Bond Market

    October 28th: The Day Iran Breaks the Bond Market
    Oct 5 2026
    On September 16, the day the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, the speaker of Iran's parliament posted a math equation. It was the formula American central bankers use to set interest rates, with two new terms added, each named after a waterway that Iran and its allies can close. It looked like a joke. One week later, diesel hit $6.53 a gallon, the highest price ever recorded in the United States. The equation was a claim: whoever controls the price of oil controls the price of money in America, from a family's mortgage to the interest on $40 trillion of government debt. Washington has an answer, and it is not cheaper oil. Both sides want crude expensive, for opposite reasons. Only one of them needs it to last. The Fed's next decision is October 28. Get your tickets for the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, January 24–25, 2027: https://vricmedia.com Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://join.thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://vricmedia.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-iran-bond-market-sources 0:00 The Equation Iran Posted 1:23 The Formula He Was Mocking 3:26 Whoever Controls Oil Controls the Fed 4:53 Step 1: Oil Becomes Diesel 7:35 Step 2: Diesel Becomes a Rate Hike 8:19 Step 3: The Hike Lands on Families 9:27 Step 4: The Hike Hits the Government 10:37 Ferguson's Law 11:21 The Spiral 12:40 America's Answer 13:41 Who Fills the Gap 17:16 Who Fired the Shots 18:40 Where the Two Wars Collide 21:16 Two Clocks 21:40 Watch October 28 Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    23 min
  • America vs. Europe: Which is Canada's future partner?

    America vs. Europe: Which is Canada's future partner?
    Sep 28 2026
    On August 22, Canada walked out of trade talks with the United States, and tariffs of 50 percent took effect on billions of dollars of Canadian goods. The official story is that Washington asked for too much and offered too little. The final demand tells the real story: the Americans asked for a say over which countries Canada could sign trade deals with. Ottawa has faced this exact choice before. In 1972 it signed an agreement with Europe and waited for the trade to follow. The trade never came, because nothing had been built to carry it. Now Europe is offering Canada a seat as its first associate member, the world's largest investors have flown to Toronto, and the tax code has been rewritten to pay for what 1972 never built. Whether it works this time comes down to one thing. It is not the agreement. Get your tickets for the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, January 24–25, 2027: https://vricmedia.com Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://join.thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://vricmedia.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-america-vs-europe-sources 00:00 Canada walks away 01:24 Agreements are not infrastructure 01:51 Nixon, August 1971 02:20 The three options 02:48 The Third Option fails 03:43 Mulroney picks option two 04:40 Economic force 06:26 What Canada is, and what it is not 07:45 The Third Option, again 08:34 Europe's first associate member 10:25 A trade deal cannot load a ship 10:52 The Toronto summit 13:10 The Productivity Mega Deduction 14:29 At the table or on the menu 15:16 Build it, or stay tied to one buyer 17:29 The Vancouver Resource Investment Conference Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    18 min
  • The Truth About Why Countries Are Pulling Their Gold From America

    The Truth About Why Countries Are Pulling Their Gold From America
    Sep 14 2026
    This year, two of America's oldest allies quietly took their gold out of the United States. France went first and emptied its New York holdings entirely. The Netherlands went second, moving 86 tonnes. Both governments gave the same answer: it's not you, it's me. Paris said the bars were old. Amsterdam said it wanted to be ready for a crisis. Both made a point of adding that the move was not political. Governments do not describe a technical upgrade as "not political" unless somebody has asked the question. Roughly 215 tonnes left American custody this year, and only 27 of them ever went anywhere. The rest changed hands without a single vault door opening. That detail is the whole story, and it explains why no finance minister on earth will say the real reason out loud. Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://join.thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://vricmedia.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-gold-leaving-america-sources 0:00 Two Allies Take Their Gold Home 2:04 What a Country's Reserves Actually Are 3:40 A Treasury Is an IOU 5:28 The Promise Nixon Broke 7:44 Gold Overtakes Treasuries 9:57 Owning It and Having It 10:35 Why the Gold Is in New York 12:29 The Day Russia's Money Was Switched Off 14:23 What France and the Netherlands Really Did 16:08 Germany Ran the Test 17:27 2013 Versus Today 20:04 Why Nobody Says It Out Loud 21:43 Read the Movements, Not the Statements 22:28 The Snapshot Mistake 24:13 The Honest Limit: London 25:01 It Changes on the Margin Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    27 min
  • America Says Hormuz Won’t Matter in 2 Years. Here’s the Problem.

    America Says Hormuz Won’t Matter in 2 Years. Here’s the Problem.
    Aug 31 2026
    U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just predicted that the most important oil chokepoint on Earth will stop mattering within two years: the Strait of Hormuz, he said, is about to become just another body of water. Washington's top diplomat is saying the same thing. The plan sounds simple enough: build pipelines around Iran, and the strait that carries a fifth of the world's oil loses its grip on the global economy. The pipelines that exist today move a fraction of what passes through Hormuz in a single day, and the routes meant to close the gap all share one feature nobody in Washington is talking about. They have to come out somewhere. What waits at the other end is the problem. Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://join.thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://vricmedia.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-hormuz-irrelevant-sources 0:00 Just Another Body of Water 0:56 Washington Says It Twice 2:15 Twenty Million Barrels a Day 2:57 The Artery of the Industrial World 4:33 The Assumption 5:19 What Five Months Cost 6:00 The Pipelines That Already Exist 9:40 Iraq's Dead Lines 12:26 The Other Chokepoint 13:05 The 2030 Promise 13:42 What History Says 14:44 The Problem 21:09 Three Things to Watch Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    23 min
  • America's Closest Allies Are Building a Future Without It

    America's Closest Allies Are Building a Future Without It
    Aug 26 2026
    Last week the White House imposed 50% tariffs on most Canadian goods, invoking a 1930 law no president had ever used, and the Toronto Stock Exchange promptly had its best day in a month — and Jay argues the shrug is the story, not the tariff. In this episode, Jay traces that reaction back 2,500 years to a Greek alliance where every city had to choose between building its own warships or sending silver and letting Athens build the fleet, shows why almost all of them chose silver and what it cost them, and follows the same four-stage cycle through Europe's Russian gas trap to the studies now under way in European capitals asking whether their own weapons would work without America's permission. This is a look at what happens to a country that stops knowing how to build its own ships, and how to tell over the next year which allies are actually building and which ones are only announcing. Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://join.thecommodityuniversity.com/ Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-allies-building-future-sources 00:00 — A 50% Tariff, and the Market Shrugged 00:53 — The Meetings Nobody Was Supposed to See 01:19 — The Pattern Behind the Headline 01:40 — 478 BC: A Choice Between Ships and Silver 03:01 — Thucydides: They Forgot How to Fight 03:26 — Naxos Tries to Leave 04:17 — From Defense Budget to Decoration Budget 05:03 — The Cycle, Stage One: Efficiency 05:28 — Stage Two: Dependency 05:52 — Stage Three: Weaponization 06:34 — Stage Four: The Exit Has an Expiry Date 07:20 — Europe's Meeting Rooms 07:48 — The Midnight Session in Brussels 08:44 — What That Agenda Item Admits 09:08 — Why "Trump Did This" Misses It 10:02 — Europe Already Ran This Cycle: Russian Gas 11:01 — Forty Percent of Europe's Pipeline Gas 12:00 — The Bill Comes Due 12:24 — Escaped the Trap, or Changed Suppliers? 13:28 — Do Europe's Weapons Work Without Permission? 14:15 — Carney's Audit and the Davos Speech 15:39 — The Peace Dividend Comes Due 16:33 — What Building Actually Looks Like 17:04 — Europe's Own 290 Satellites 17:34 — Why Leverage Depreciates 18:45 — Back to the 50% Tariff 19:41 — What the Exemptions Admit 20:54 — Canada's Own Dependency 21:49 — Can We Still Afford to Build Ships? 22:34 — Announcements Are Not Steel in the Ground 23:49 — What This Means for Commodities Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    25 min
  • July 24th: The Day China Reveals Gold’s Real Price

    July 24th: The Day China Reveals Gold’s Real Price
    Aug 25 2026
    China is shutting down paper gold. On July 24, 2026, some of the largest banks on Earth — ICBC, the Postal Savings Bank, Ping An — stop letting their everyday customers trade it, all in the same narrow window, and Jay argues this isn't about protecting investors from volatility. It's the moment China starts finding out what gold is actually worth. In this episode, Jay traces the setup back to a room inside the Bank of England where, in March 1968, the floor physically gave way under the weight of the gold stacked on top of it — the same week a defended paper price collapsed into two prices and a whole new monetary system. This is a look at what happens when the paper price of gold breaks away from the real metal, why central banks are quietly trading their U.S. Treasuries for bullion at a record pace, and how China built the machine to force the question on purpose. Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-floor-gave-way Learn to invest alongside the top minds in commodities. Join The Commodity University today. CLICK: https://linkly.link/26yH8 Sign up for my free weekly newsletter at https://2ly.link/211gx Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC https://www.instagram.com/jaymartinbc https://www.facebook.com/TheJayMartinShow https://www.linkedin.com/company/cambridge-house-international 00:00 — The Banks Shutting Down Paper Gold 00:55 — The Official Story, and Why Jay Doesn't Buy It 01:29 — 1968: The Floor Gave Way at the Bank of England 02:23 — The $35 Promise 04:01 — The London Gold Pool 04:52 — The Run on Gold: 5 Tonnes to 1,000 05:16 — The Bank Holiday and Two Prices 06:23 — What Paper Gold Actually Is 07:31 — Ten Claims Per Ounce 08:49 — Test #1: Watch for Two Prices 09:40 — Test #2: Watch the Smart Money 11:08 — Your Grocery Bill, 1976 vs Today 14:37 — China's Three-Part Replacement 16:50 — "Priced in the West": They Told Us in 2014 17:13 — What Happens on July 24 18:04 — The Two Things to Watch Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
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    18 min