A new artificial intelligence model blindsided policymakers at meetings of the International Monetary Fund, raising fears of faster, more-sophisticated cyberattacks on the global financial system. But the same technology also is being touted by its builders as the most powerful defense banks could have. On this week’s episode of Trumponomics, host Stephanie Flanders and guests Michael Deng, geoeconomics technology analyst at Bloomberg Economics, and Bloomberg News reporter Laura Noonan break down why Mythos, Anthropic’s most powerful AI model, is sparking both panic and optimism in boardrooms and across governments—and what it means for the security of the global financial system.

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It’s now been one year since Donald Trump’s sweeping attempt at global tariffs, and the economic fallout has been more nuanced than either critics or supporters predicted. On this episode of the Trumponomics podcast, host Stephanie Flanders speaks with Anna Wong of Bloomberg Economics and Oren Cass of the conservative think tank American Compass about a US economy that, in many respects, has proven unexpectedly resilient. Growth hasn’t collapsed, inflation hasn’t spiked and the president’s April 2025 tariffs (most of which were struck down in February by the Supreme Court) generated substantial federal revenue. The debate now centers on whether it will make a difference when it comes to Trump’s stated goal: reviving US manufacturing.

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On this episode of Trumponomics, host Stephanie Flanders examines how the US-Israel war with Iran has choked one of the world’s most vital shipping routes and tested the foundations of global trade. With traffic through the Strait of Hormuz severely constrained and hundreds of vessels backed up, the disruption is pushing up energy prices and raising fresh concerns about the reliability of supply chains. Bloomberg Global Trade Editor Brendan Murray and Africa and Middle East Correspondent Peter Martin join to unpack the economic fallout and geopolitical stakes.

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On this episode of Trumponomics, host Stephanie Flanders examines how the US-Israel war with Iran has presented China with two golden opportunities. The conflict provides Beijing with a chance to both widen its global diplomatic sway as the “adult in the room” and study the military tactics of its chief rival in real-time. Flanders is joined by Bloomberg's Fran Wang, who has spent almost two decades in China covering fiscal policy and economic planning, and Adam Farrar, Bloomberg Economics’ senior geoeconomics analyst for Asia-Pacific and a former adviser to US Vice President Kamala Harris, to unpack the geopolitical and economic implications of the crisis.

While the Iran war presents near-term risks to China’s economy, they say, the long-term benefits could be far reaching.

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A month into the US–Israel war with Iran, the global economy is already feeling the strain — such as surging oil prices and shifting interest rate expectations. Host Stephanie Flanders speaks with Tom Orlik and Dina Esfandiary from the Bloomberg Economics team about how Iran has managed to turn economic pressure into strategic leverage, complicating the outlook for President Donald Trump and raising the risk of prolonged instability.

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Stephanie Flanders sits down with Nobel Prize–winning economist Daron Acemoglu to unpack one of the most urgent questions facing the global economy: how is artificial intelligence changing the future of work, and what are the potentially dire consequences for society and democracy?

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Everything we think we know about recessions is wrong—or at least mostly wrong—according to ExxonMobil Chief Economist Tyler Goodspeed. He argues downturns aren’t the inevitable result of overheated booms and don’t arrive simply because expansions last too long. In his new book, Recession: The Real Reasons Economies Shrink and What to Do About It, which spans 250 years of US and UK economic history, Goodspeed contends recessions are typically the product of sudden, overlapping shocks—particularly to energy and food—that derail otherwise healthy expansions.

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Oil and gas traders are confronting a potential worst-case scenario after the US-Israeli strike on Iran Saturday: the Strait of Hormuz is effectively paralyzed, Saudi Arabia’s largest refinery is shut and Iran has hit Qatar’s giant liquified natural gas export facility.

On this week’s episode of Trumponomics, host Stephanie Flanders speaks to Bloomberg Opinion columnist Javier Blas and Ziad Daoud, chief emerging markets economist for Bloomberg Economics. Together they unpack the unsettlingly wide range of outcomes from the war, and how Russia will gain economically the longer the conflict continues.

Read more:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-03-04/iran-war-the-most-precious-commodity-is-water-not-oil

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