Putin just recognized the Taliban — and it changes the board in Afghanistan.

Russia didn’t “engage.” Russia didn’t “keep channels open.” Putin accepted the Taliban ambassador’s credentials in Moscow. That’s official recognition, and it sends a signal to every country still trying to pretend there’s a middle lane: no handshake, but business as usual.

In this episode, Ahmad Shah Mohibi breaks down why Putin did it, what Russia gains, and what the U.S. withdrawal in 2021 set in motion. We get into the uncomfortable reality of the current setup: the Taliban controls the system, the borders, the banks, the checkpoints — and that’s why language games don’t change outcomes.

We also look at China’s quiet approach: stability talk on the outside, resource strategy underneath — lithium, rare earths, copper — the materials that power modern technology and global leverage.

And while social media sells “calm Afghanistan” content for clicks, this episode focuses on what that camera frame leaves out: a country where fear sets the rules, education is blocked for girls, women are erased from public life, and silence becomes survival.

Chapters:

00:00 Monologue

00:35 Putin recognizes the Taliban (what recognition actually means)

02:20 The 2021 exit and the vacuum effect

03:50 How power moves when the U.S. leaves

05:05 The money and access problem inside Taliban control

06:25 China’s play: mines, contracts, and leverage

07:40 Influencer tours vs reality on the ground

08:30 What cameras don’t show: women, girls, and fear as policy

09:25 What real stability would require

09:55 Closing

Host: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

#WarGuyShow #AhmadShahMohibi #Afghanistan #Taliban #Putin #Russia #China #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #HumanRights #Security #News #Podcast

Protests are happening across America right now, after two incidents involving federal immigration agents — one in Minneapolis and one in Portland. The Minneapolis case is at the center of it: an American citizen, Renée Nicole Good, was killed during an ICE encounter. People want answers. They should.

But here’s what most people miss: the moment something tragic happens, politics moves fast. Some leaders show up to demand accountability. Others treat the moment like a card to play — to attack the whole immigration crackdown, shift the narrative, and in places like Minnesota, change the subject from uncomfortable local issues.

Minnesota matters here because it already had tension before this tragedy — including intense public debate around alleged fraud tied to public programs, and the viral attention brought by YouTuber Nick Shirley. That story pulled national attention, and the political pressure grew. Now the ICE incident is being used as fuel in a bigger fight.

This video breaks down:

Why ICE power feels different than local policing

How fear/anger spreads fast when federal enforcement ramps up

How the story is being politicized — and why Minnesota is a flashpoint

Why accountability matters even when enforcement is needed

Chapters / Timestamps

00:00 Protests across America — what triggered this

00:35 Minneapolis: Renée Nicole Good

01:10 Politics jumps in

01:45 Minnesota: fraud + viral pressure

02:35 Enforcement vs force

03:20 The narrative war

Episode 4 — ICE, Minnesota Fraud, and the Politics Game

Host: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

#ICE #Immigration #USPolitics #Trump #BorderCrisis #Deportation #Minnesota #IlhanOmar #Protests #BreakingNews #FederalPower #PoliticalSpin #Accountability #America #Viral #Trending #Commentary #WarGuy #USA=

Iran is being squeezed from every direction — economy, sanctions, protests, censorship, and a shrinking regional footprint. But the loudest phrase online right now is “regime change.” Here’s my straight take: Iran isn’t Venezuela, and if it breaks the wrong way, it can spiral into Iraq/Syria-style chaos. In this episode, I break down what’s driving the unrest, why the regime cuts the internet, how divided the country really is, and how the U.S., Russia, and China change the whole calculation.

What You’ll Hear in This Episode

• Why Iran looks weak — but collapse isn’t automatic
• Why the Venezuela comparison misses key realities
• What’s fueling protests: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions
• How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom shutdowns
• The split inside Iran: stability/pride vs freedom/control
• My warning: removing leaders can create chaos fast
• The military/nuclear escalation risk
• Iran’s regional footprint shrinking as proxies weaken
• Quick context on 1979 and how the Islamic Republic functions
• The gap between diaspora talk and ground realities
• Why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall
• What “change” could look like — and why timing is unknowable

Episode Timeline

00:00 — Iran is weakened, but regime change isn’t guaranteed

01:00 — Venezuela comparison: why some people think anything is possible

02:00 — Trump + regime-change talk: diplomacy is different now

03:00 — Why protests are happening: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions

04:00 — How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom cuts

05:00 — Iran is divided: pride + stability vs freedom + no control

06:00 — My warning: removing leaders can create chaos (Iraq/Syria lessons)

07:00 — Military/nuclear angle: how fast escalation can happen

08:00 — Iran’s “empire” shrinking: proxies/allies weakened across the region

09:00 — Context: 1979 revolution and how the Islamic Republic system works

10:00 — Opposition talk: diaspora noise vs realities on the ground

11:00 — Geopolitics: why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall

12:00 — Khamenei and what change could look like (and why timing is unknown)

#Iran #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Protests #Sanctions

Hosted by: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

I'm the WarGuy. What’s your story?

Born in war. Built in America. At 16, I was chasing bad guys with U.S. forces. Now I sit down with guests from every world and ask the questions people avoid. WarGuy Show is raw conversations about life, pressure, faith, ambition, and the quiet battles in our heads—sometimes real wars too, when it actually matters.

Hosted by Ahmad Shah Mohibi.