#2—Compared Iran to Venezuela and What I Learned Was Scary (Solo)
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Iran is being squeezed from every direction — economy, sanctions, protests, censorship, and a shrinking regional footprint. But the loudest phrase online right now is “regime change.” Here’s my straight take: Iran isn’t Venezuela, and if it breaks the wrong way, it can spiral into Iraq/Syria-style chaos. In this episode, I break down what’s driving the unrest, why the regime cuts the internet, how divided the country really is, and how the U.S., Russia, and China change the whole calculation.
What You’ll Hear in This Episode
- Why Iran looks weak — but collapse isn’t automatic
- Why the Venezuela comparison misses key realities
- What’s fueling protests: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions
- How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom shutdowns
- The split inside Iran: stability/pride vs freedom/control
- My warning: removing leaders can create chaos fast
- The military/nuclear escalation risk
- Iran’s regional footprint shrinking as proxies weaken
- Quick context on 1979 and how the Islamic Republic functions
- The gap between diaspora talk and ground realities
- Why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall
- What “change” could look like — and why timing is unknowable
Episode Timeline
00:00 — Iran is weakened, but regime change isn’t guaranteed
01:00 — Venezuela comparison: why some people think anything is possible
02:00 — Trump + regime-change talk: diplomacy is different now
03:00 — Why protests are happening: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions
04:00 — How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom cuts
05:00 — Iran is divided: pride + stability vs freedom + no control
06:00 — My warning: removing leaders can create chaos (Iraq/Syria lessons)
07:00 — Military/nuclear angle: how fast escalation can happen
08:00 — Iran’s “empire” shrinking: proxies/allies weakened across the region
09:00 — Context: 1979 revolution and how the Islamic Republic system works
10:00 — Opposition talk: diaspora noise vs realities on the ground
11:00 — Geopolitics: why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall
12:00 — Khamenei and what change could look like (and why timing is unknown)
#Iran #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Protests #Sanctions
Hosted by: Ahmad Shah Mohibi