Why the Best Commercial Real Estate Deals Happen in Uncertain Times
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Why the Best Commercial Real Estate Deals Happen in Uncertain Times
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Criterion breaks down why uncertainty creates real buying opportunities in commercial real estate and how disciplined underwriting and fixed-rate debt help investors win while others freeze.
Time Stamps: 0:00 Welcome back + what’s been going on 0:26 Deal updates: Reno stall, upcoming Aspen Dental sale, Burleson TLE, Denver under contract 2:03 Investor travel series + meet and greets + distributions update 3:07 Quick fun: NBA talk, mascot cameo, macro uncertainty + rate impact 5:28 Overrated vs underrated game (Thunder, AI tools, Rolex, transfer portal, Masters) 10:40 Main topic: why the best CRE deals happen during uncertain times 10:50 The uncertainty cycle: panic → indecision → opportunity → recovery → everyone piles in 12:13 How uncertainty creates deals: mistakes, forced sellers, less competition 13:34 Criterion approach: fixed-rate debt, cash flow today, flexibility later 16:09 Multifamily vs retail: where underwriting broke, why retail is harder to overbuild 19:28 Historic parallels (2007–08, COVID, current macro) + timing isn’t luck 21:09 Wrap-up and goodbye
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