What is happening to NDP support?
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What is happening to NDP support?
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In this episode of inFocus with David Coletto, we explore the dramatic collapse in support for the NDP in the 2025 federal election. Based on our latest Abacus Data survey, the NDP has seen its committed vote plummet from around 18% to just 9%. We dive into the reasons behind this significant shift, examining the two key groups of voters—those still loyal to the NDP and those who are now voting Liberal instead.
David Coletto discusses the political context driving these changes, including the rise of Mark Carney as a stabilizing force for many progressive voters, and the role of strategic voting in this high-stakes election. With fears of a Conservative government under Pierre Poilievre and concerns about Donald Trump’s impact on Canada, many voters who once leaned NDP are now casting their ballots for the Liberals in an attempt to stop what they perceive as a greater threat.
Tune in for a data-driven analysis of this critical shift and what it means for the NDP’s chances as the 2025 election unfolds.