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The Triple Tape

The Triple Tape

Di: Brian Stegman
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Weekday morning markets in about ten minutes. Stocks, crypto, and metals as equal sleeves. Overnight tape, today's calendar, one thing to watch. No fluff, no trade calls.The Triple Tape Economia Finanza personale Politica e governo
  • Thursday, October 22: China moves to seize 61,800 bitcoin. Meta's $25B penalty. Copper World gets the green light.
    Oct 22 2026

    The Triple Tape — Thursday, October 22, 2026. Morning briefing across crypto, stocks, and metals.

    Crypto: OCC finalizes first GENIUS Act stablecoin rule, effective Jan. 18; bankers push back (The Block, Decrypt, CoinDesk); Chinese prosecutors seek to confiscate 61,800+ BTC tied to a ~$5.7B fraud after a UK court ruling (CoinDesk); Solana's Alpenglow upgrade goes live, finality ~150 ms (The Block, Decrypt); Standard Chartered signs deal to buy Zodia Custody (The Block, Cointelegraph); Zcash sets NU7 upgrade for ~Nov. 5 (CoinDesk). Tape (CoinGecko, 24h): XMR +10.2%, WLD −7.7%, UNI −6.2%. BTC ~$81.7K.

    Stocks: New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay $25B in Cambridge Analytica case (Reuters, AP); US orders non-emergency staff out of Saudi Arabia amid Houthi attacks, Brent ~$112 (Reuters, AP); EQT-led group to take Qiagen private at €46.50/share (company releases); LSEG to buy Octus for $3.535B (LSEG); up to ~1.3B SpaceX shares eligible to sell from today. Earnings: Tesla adj EPS $0.48 beat, FCF $1.53B, 2026 capex cut to ~$20B; Meta revenue $64.6B (+26%), Q4 guide $73–76B, new Class C stock; Lam Research record $8.22B revenue, guide ~$8.6B; IBM beat but lower; TI beat; Rollins revenue miss. Premarket (Yahoo): LRCX −8.9%, ROL −7.4%, MSTR −6.1%.

    Metals: Hudbay and Mitsubishi approve $2.1B Copper World mine in Arizona (Mining.com); Royal Mint reports record silver and platinum sales, gold coin revenue +21% q/q (Kitco); US sets November deep-sea minerals auction near American Samoa (Mining.com); Brazil court halts Belo Sun's ~$300M gold project (Mining.com); First Quantum's Kansanshi expansion beats design capacity (Mining.com). Tape (COMEX futures): palladium −3.7%, silver −2.9%, platinum −2.8%.

    Calendar: Jobless claims 8:30 a.m. ET; leading index 10:00; EIA natural gas storage 10:30; KC Fed manufacturing 11:00; 5-year TIPS auction 1 p.m. Before the open: P&G, Union Pacific, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Blackstone, Dow. After the close: Western Digital. FOMC Oct. 27–28.

    Takeaway: Watch whether oil or earnings drives the open — Tesla showed spending cuts can spook investors as much as raises, and with Brent near five-month highs the market has little patience today.

    Show: The Triple Tape · bytewiseapps.com/the-triple-tape

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    8 min
  • Wednesday, October 21: SpaceX turns a profit and talks Tesla. Big companies balk at tokenized stocks. Codelco's record copper premium.
    Oct 21 2026

    The Triple Tape — Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Morning briefing across crypto, stocks, and metals.

    Crypto: Microsoft, Alphabet, Goldman Sachs among 16 companies objecting to the planned OKX-ICE tokenized stock venue (Decrypt, Cointelegraph); North Korea-linked Drift exploiter sends ~$61M of ETH through Tornado Cash, still holds ~$198M (Decrypt, Arkham); FINMA approves Switzerland's first retail ETF holding bitcoin directly (The Block, Decrypt); Utah sues Kalshi and two Susquehanna firms as an illegal gambling business (The Block, Cointelegraph); Mt. Gox pushes repayment deadline to Oct. 31, 2027 with ~34,388 BTC left (Decrypt). Tape (CoinGecko, 24h): ZEC +11.9%, NEAR +10.0%, WLD +8.9%. BTC ~$83.2K.

    Stocks: Musk says a SpaceX–Tesla merger would be "a good idea" as both form special committees (Reuters, WSJ); Super Micro raises preliminary fiscal Q1 revenue to $18.5–19.5B (company release); Salesforce to buy Braze for ~$5.66B, $47.50/share (Reuters); Anthropic draft S-1 shows $16.3B first-half revenue and ~$9B compute spend (WSJ); Getty Images files Chapter 11 (Reuters). Earnings: SpaceX revenue $14.58B (+161%), $4.4B profit, AI revenue tops Starlink; Netflix EPS $0.87 beat but Q4 outlook light, ad target cut to ~$2.7B; Intuitive Surgical beat on revenue $3.05B and adj EPS $3.00 yet falls; Capital One adj EPS $6.69 beat; United record $17.9B revenue, adj EPS $2.54 slightly light, Q4 guide below. Premarket (Yahoo): SMCI +12.0%, SPCX +10.2%, ISRG −7.8%; NFLX −6.0%.

    Metals: Codelco offers Europe 2027 copper at a record $350/t premium (Reuters/Kitco); Trafigura at LME Week: data-center copper demand nears 1 Mt (Fastmarkets); Fresnillo Q3 silver −11.6% to 10.3 Moz, gold −10.7%, guidance kept (company/Investing.com); CIBC cuts Q4 gold forecast to $4,500 and 2027 to $5,200 (Kitco); India's September gold imports fall to $1.8B, lowest since March 2024 (WGC/Kitco). Tape (COMEX futures): palladium −1.9%, silver −1.0%, platinum −1.0%.

    Calendar: MBA mortgage applications 7 a.m. ET; EIA weekly petroleum status 10:30 a.m.; 20-year Treasury bond auction 1 p.m. Fed quiet period ahead of the Oct 27–28 FOMC; Reuters poll sees a December hike. Before the open: AT&T, Philip Morris, Thermo Fisher, Abbott, NextEra. After the close: Meta, Tesla, IBM, Texas Instruments, Lam Research.

    Takeaway: Watch whether Meta and Tesla can show what SpaceX just did — giant AI spending turning into real revenue — with Brent above $110 and a December Fed hike on the table.

    Show: The Triple Tape · bytewiseapps.com/the-triple-tape

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    8 min
  • Tuesday, October 20: BlackRock files a buffered bitcoin ETF. OpenAI's $30B sprint. BHP copper drops 19%.
    Oct 20 2026

    The Triple Tape — Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Morning briefing across crypto, stocks, and metals.

    Crypto: BlackRock files for the iShares Bitcoin Managed Protection ETF (PBIT), an options-on-IBIT fund that limits losses and caps gains (The Block, Cointelegraph); JPMorgan puts JPM Coin on Ethereum mainnet for institutional clients (CoinDesk, Bloomberg); CFTC tells court CME lacks standing to fight its perpetual-futures policy (CoinDesk); Strive buys 4,045 BTC (~$335M) to 36,818 BTC as its 15% SATS preferred settles, Strategy adds 267 BTC and buys back $193M of STRC (Decrypt, The Block); SkyAI sells its entire Solana treasury, launches $201M tender (Cointelegraph, The Block). Tape (CoinGecko, 24h): NEAR −6.9%, WLD +5.1%, XMR +4.5%. BTC ~$81.4K.

    Stocks: OpenAI racing to raise ~$30B at a $1.4T+ valuation before Anthropic's mid-November IPO (Reuters); 3M expands Amazon data center deal, Amazon gets warrant for ~3.16M shares at $164.89 (3M 8-K); Tradeweb to buy Trumid for ~$1.97B (Tradeweb); Merck KGaA to buy Silence Therapeutics for ~$1.3B, $20/ADS (Reuters); DHS bans DeepSeek from federal civilian agency systems (CNBC). Earnings: Cleveland-Cliffs adj EPS $0.28 vs ~$0.22, first profit in two years, closed ~+16%; Steel Dynamics EPS $5.26, below its own guide; Crown Holdings adj EPS $2.39 beat but Q4 guide $1.63–1.73 below ~$1.79. Premarket (Yahoo): STLD −5.8%, SKHY −4.7%, AAOI −4.1%; MMM +3.7%.

    Metals: BHP September-quarter copper output down 19%, guidance held (BHP, MiningNews.net); Anglo American Q3 copper −5% after record Chile snowfall, 700–760 kt range kept (Reuters/Mining Weekly); LS MnM weighs copper smelting cuts as treatment charges turn negative (Reuters/Kitco); Shenghe sells 51% of rare-earth processing units to state-owned China Rare Earth Group (Reuters/Kitco); LME copper stocks hit two-month high of 147,450 t (Reuters/Kitco). Tape (COMEX futures): palladium −1.2%, gold −0.5%, platinum −0.2%.

    Calendar: September housing starts and building permits 8:30 a.m. ET; pending home sales 10 a.m. Fed quiet period ahead of the Oct 27–28 FOMC. Before the open: GE Aerospace, GM, RTX, Northrop Grumman, 3M, Halliburton. After the close: Netflix, SpaceX, Intuitive Surgical, Capital One, United Airlines.

    Takeaway: Watch whether the AI money chase can outrun a 10-year yield above 5% — OpenAI's $30B sprint before Anthropic lists, SpaceX and Netflix after tonight's close, and oil back near $100.

    Show: The Triple Tape · bytewiseapps.com/the-triple-tape

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    8 min
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