The Trump administration’s tariff programme has suffered another legal defeat. The US Court of International Trade ruled 2-1 against the 10% Section 122 global surcharge, the replacement for the IEEPA reciprocal tariffs struck down by the Supreme Court in February. So which tariffs are actually still standing, and what comes next?
Mike King is joined by Karen Kenney, founder and president of K2 Trade Solutions and Dimerco Express Group Trade Compliance Strategist, and Nancy O’Liddy, Executive Director of the National Industrial Transportation League, to map out the current tariff landscape, explain how the four remaining pillars stack, and look at what the $166 billion CAPE refund process means in practice for importers.
They also get into tariff fraud, including transshipment evasion, the growing risk of refund interception through the CAPE portal, and double-brokering in US domestic freight. Plus: diesel prices up 60% year on year, carrier surcharges, the Federal Maritime Commission’s pushback, and what the war in the Middle East actually means for shipping costs. And Nancy O’Liddy on why the NITL is calling for the Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern merger to be denied.
A wide-ranging, practical episode for anyone managing freight costs or supply chain risk in 2026.
Produced with the support of Dimerco Express Group: https://dimerco.com
Contents
0:03:00 The Section 122 ruling: another legal defeat for Trump tariffs
0:06:00 Which tariffs are actually still standing?
0:08:00 The global tariff map: what it means by country and product
0:11:00 Tariff stacking explained: how 80% ends up on a tin can
0:15:00 The $166 billion refund: how the CAPE process is working in practice
0:23:00 Transshipment fraud: the $107 billion evasion problem
0:30:00 Refund fraud and the risk building around the CAPE portal
0:34:00 Double-brokering and domestic freight fraud
0:37:00 Fuel costs: diesel up 60% and what it means for shippers
0:47:00 Rail consolidation: why NITL is calling for the UP/NS merger to be denied
Related episode
Carrier consolidation, AI & freight fraud: Gebrüder Weiss North America CEO Mark McCullough
https://youtu.be/N7kVfrHfAAo
Data and press credits
Data and graphics: TPC Tariff Rules Engine v1.6 | American Automobile Association
Press coverage cited: The Guardian | The New York Times | Dow Jones Risk Journal (Liz Young, 28 April 2026) | The Washington Post (Linda Miller, 23 April 2026) | Journal of Commerce
Research cited: Gaia Dynamics, “The Refund Trap: Why IEEPA Recovery Can Trigger Hidden Compliance Exposure”, 21 April 2026 | Altana AI, tariff evasion report, April 2026
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