Episodi

  • Palantir's Otherworldly Quarter, Dow Record, Shorts Swarm SpaceX

    Palantir's Otherworldly Quarter, Dow Record, Shorts Swarm SpaceX
    Aug 4 2026
    Palantir delivered a quarter Alex Karp called otherworldly: revenue of $1.935 billion, up 93% year over year against a $1.81 billion consensus, adjusted earnings of 41 cents versus 34 expected, and US commercial revenue up 149% to $764 million — killing outright the bear case that commercial customers were pulling back. Management raised full-year guidance to roughly $8.15 billion against a $7.72 billion consensus and lifted its US commercial forecast to at least 134% growth, sending shares up 9% after hours. The broader reversal was arguably the bigger story, with the Dow closing at a record 53,178 on a 693-point gain, Meta up 6%, Alphabet and Microsoft each up close to 5%, and Amazon reaching a $3 trillion valuation for the first time after its strongest week since 2015 — a complete about-face from July, when the tech sector shed almost 8% on AI spending fears. Andrew also previews an unusual evening ahead: AMD reports with consensus at $11.3 billion in revenue and $1.61 in adjusted earnings after a 125% year-to-date run, while SpaceX opens its books as a public company for the first time carrying roughly $23.6 billion in short interest that has now overtaken Tesla in dollar terms. He closes on what has to hold from here — Friday's payrolls with consensus near 88,000 jobs, a rates market still pricing a 63% chance of a September hike, and Thursday's insider unlock.
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    5 min
  • Palantir's Blowout Quarter, Semiconductors Bounce Back, Dow Record

    Palantir's Blowout Quarter, Semiconductors Bounce Back, Dow Record
    Aug 4 2026
    Palantir posted Q2 revenue of $1.94 billion, up 93% year-over-year and well above the $1.81 billion consensus, driving a 16% surge in the stock. Microsoft's Azure grew 43% and the company held capex steady, sparking a sharp rebound in semiconductor stocks from their worst month since 2002. The Dow closed at a record 53,178 as money rotates from chips into software and industrials, while the White House convenes AI companies to review a new voluntary regulatory framework.
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    4 min
  • Palantir's Judgment Night, Micron's Paradox, SpaceX Opens Its Books

    Palantir's Judgment Night, Micron's Paradox, SpaceX Opens Its Books
    Aug 3 2026
    Palantir reports second-quarter results after the closing bell with Wall Street looking for 81% revenue growth to $1.81 billion, yet the stock sits roughly 40% below its November high and the analysts covering it are openly at war — Cleveland Research flagging soft commercial spend while Baird and Oppenheimer hold $200 targets, and CEO Alex Karp insisting growth is capped by supply rather than demand. Micron presents an even stranger picture: record revenue of $41.4 billion, up 346%, with the stock down about a third from its summer high, because the market has stopped worrying about memory demand and started worrying about whether anyone can afford what the memory enables — Uber burned its entire annual AI budget in four months, Amazon and Walmart have capped employee usage, and a UBS survey found 60% of businesses now route work to cheaper models. Then on Wednesday SpaceX opens its books to public shareholders for the first time, where the xAI segment's $818 million in quarterly revenue against a $2.5 billion operating loss is the number that will define the print, days before roughly 912 million locked-up shares become tradable. Andrew closes on a week with almost nowhere to hide: AMD tomorrow afternoon, Friday's payrolls report, and a rates market assigning a 63% probability to a September rate hike.
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    4 min
  • Oil Craters on Iran Deal, Asian Chips Reverse, Palantir's Big Night

    Oil Craters on Iran Deal, Asian Chips Reverse, Palantir's Big Night
    Aug 3 2026
    A genuine relief rally out of Washington as President Trump cancels a planned strike on Iran, with the outline of a deal that reopens the Strait of Hormuz sending Brent crude down more than three dollars and lifting US equity futures across the board — Nasdaq-100 futures leading with a gain of nearly one percent. But Asia refuses to join in: South Korea's Kospi tumbles over 4.5% at the open as SK Hynix and Samsung hand back the record single-day gains they had just posted on Friday, a whipsaw driven by China's CXMT listing and reports Beijing has cracked ASML's lithography monopoly. Then the main event lands after the closing bell — Palantir reports second-quarter results with Wall Street looking for 81% revenue growth and what would be a twelfth straight quarter of acceleration, all while the stock sits down roughly 28% this year. Andrew closes on the week ahead: AMD, SpaceX's first public results, and Friday's jobs report.
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    4 min
  • Apple's Worst Day of the Year, Nvidia Retakes the Crown, Amazon's Chip Surprise

    Apple's Worst Day of the Year, Nvidia Retakes the Crown, Amazon's Chip Surprise
    Aug 1 2026
    Apple suffers its steepest single-session drop of the year, plunging more than 7% and erasing roughly $475 billion in market value, as light Services revenue, a soft China quarter and what Tim Cook called a hundred-year flood on memory pricing overshadow 22% iPhone growth in his final earnings call as CEO — handing the world's most valuable company crown back to Nvidia at $4.74 trillion. Amazon is the day's biggest winner, surging 15% as AWS grows 37% and the company reveals its in-house Trainium and Graviton chip business has quietly passed a $25 billion annual revenue run rate, with Anthropic, OpenAI and Meta all signing on. Alphabet rallies close to 4% as Wall Street re-rates AI capital spending, no longer punishing heavy investment outright but distinguishing spending that visibly converts into cloud revenue. Andrew closes on the real risk building underneath it all: the thirty-year Treasury yield at its highest since 2007.
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    4 min
  • AI Stocks Roar Back as Mystery Seller Unmasked

    AI Stocks Roar Back as Mystery Seller Unmasked
    Jul 31 2026
    The AI trade stages its strongest session in months — the Nasdaq jumps 2.8% and Microsoft surges 16% — as the mystery behind the recent selloff is revealed: a twenty billion dollar leveraged hedge fund forced to dump its entire AI portfolio to Citadel after margin calls, sending its former holdings like Sandisk, Nebius and SK Hynix soaring on the news. Amazon delivers the cloud blowout the market was waiting for, with AWS revenue accelerating 37% and shares jumping 9% after hours despite higher spending plans. And Tim Cook signs off with a beat in his final earnings call as Apple CEO, handing the reins to John Ternus after a fifteen-year run. Andrew closes with what to watch: Friday's energy and pharma earnings, thirty-year Treasury yields at their highest since 2007, and whether this rally can build a genuine follow-through.
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    4 min
  • Microsoft Soars 9%, Meta Sinks on AI Costs, Fed Holds as Nasdaq Corrects

    Microsoft Soars 9%, Meta Sinks on AI Costs, Fed Holds as Nasdaq Corrects
    Jul 30 2026
    Microsoft delivers the earnings beat this nervous market needed — ninety billion dollars in revenue, Azure growth accelerating to 43%, and full-year Azure revenue crossing one hundred billion for the first time, sending the stock up nearly 9% after hours. Meta tells the opposite story: record revenue but a 14% profit decline as expenses surge 55% and Reality Labs burns another four point six billion, with full-year capex guidance raised to as much as one hundred forty-five billion dollars. Meanwhile the Fed holds rates steady with three dissenters preferring a hike, the Nasdaq-100 falls deeper into correction at 11% below its June record, and the chip rout continues with Nvidia, AMD and SK Hynix all sinking. Andrew breaks down what to watch as Amazon and Apple report tonight in Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO. This episode is produced using AI-generated voices and AI-curated content. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.
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    4 min
  • Chip Selloff Deepens, Microsoft & Meta Earnings Tonight, Fed Decision Day

    Chip Selloff Deepens, Microsoft & Meta Earnings Tonight, Fed Decision Day
    Jul 29 2026
    The chip selloff enters its second day as the PHLX Semiconductor Index drops another 4.5%, briefly dragging the Nasdaq-100 into correction territory. South Korea's KOSPI has now fallen more than 20% in two days, and SK Hynix — despite posting a 557% jump in quarterly profit — missed elevated expectations and dropped 9% in Seoul. Andrew breaks down the two forces driving the rout: circular financing fears around Nvidia's reported 250 billion dollar OpenAI backstop, and rising Chinese chip competition. Then it's earnings night — Microsoft and Meta both report after the close, with beats widely expected but the real market mover being their tone on future AI capital spending. Microsoft's FY27 capex could approach 230 billion dollars
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    5 min