The 2026 Forecast: Tax Strategies, AI Productivity, and the Battle for the Fed - Jan. 3, 2026 copertina

The 2026 Forecast: Tax Strategies, AI Productivity, and the Battle for the Fed - Jan. 3, 2026

The 2026 Forecast: Tax Strategies, AI Productivity, and the Battle for the Fed - Jan. 3, 2026

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Part 1: New Year Tax Tactics with Bill Kane

As we enter 2026, Bill Kane (Dingwall and Kane) returns to offer a crucial "to-do" list for listeners looking back at their 2025 filings and planning for the year ahead.

  • The 2025 "Final Call": Kane explains how listeners can still maximize HSA and retirement contributions (like IRAs and SEPs) up until the filing deadline to lower their 2025 tax bill.

  • The "Audit-Proof" Assembly: A guide to the "alphabet soup" of forms arriving in January (W-2s, 1099-K, 1099-A) and why matching these perfectly is your best defense against an IRS CP2000 notice.

  • The Big Beautiful Bill in Action: Insight into new 2026 deductions, including the permanent Qualified Business Income Deduction (QBID), the "Hollywood-lobbied" auto loan interest deduction, and tips for tracking tax-free overtime pay.

Part 2: 2026 Economic Forecast with Robert Fry

In the second half, award-winning economist Robert Fry delivers his highly anticipated annual forecast. While others predict boom or bust, Fry remains grounded in a "no-recession" trend for 2026.

  • The AI vs. Labor Force Struggle: Fry argues that while AI will boost productivity, the "zero labor force growth" caused by retiring Baby Boomers will keep long-term GDP growth capped near 2%.

  • "Opportunistic Disinflation": Why the Fed won't intentionally cause a recession to hit their 2% inflation target, choosing instead to wait for a "positive supply shock."

  • The Next Fed Chair: Fry weighs in on the potential appointment of Kevin Hassett or Kevin Warsh, making a passionate case for why the U.S. needs an economist—not another lawyer—to lead the Federal Reserve.

  • A Political Grenade: Fry closes with a candid comparison of the personal and economic temperaments of Donald Trump and Joe Biden, arguing that despite the noise, their approaches to inflation and IQ obsession are surprisingly similar.

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