Episodi

  • NFL Divisional Round Player Props & Best Bets with Brad Allred | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 193)
    Jan 16 2026

    The Divisional Round is here, and Stephie Smalls is joined by comedian and sharp bettor Brad Allred to break down the NFL Divisional Round player props and best bets from every angle. They open with rapid-fire reactions to the weekend slate before diving deep into matchup-specific prop value, game scripts, and where the sportsbooks may be missing.

    The show covers Broncos vs Bills, Rams vs Bears, Patriots vs Texans, and Seahawks vs 49ers, with detailed discussion on players like Josh Allen, Bo Nix, Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, DeAndre Swift, Caleb Williams, Matthew Stafford, Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson, Kenneth Walker, Zach Charbonnet, Sam Darnold, and more. Stephie and Brad debate rushing vs receiving angles, quarterback mobility, tight end mismatches, cold-weather narratives, and interception props — with plenty of comedy and degeneracy mixed in.

    In Extra Holes, Producer Ryan jumps on to toss out additional late-week props, react to fan comments, check in on prison picks, and wrap the NFL season with rapid-fire superlatives like “who fooled us the longest?” and “which fan base needs therapy?” It’s equal parts betting insight, NFL therapy session, and chaos.

    Whether you’re building same-game parlays, betting straight props, or just trying to survive Divisional Weekend with your sanity intact, this episode has you covered.

    0:00 - Intro

    0:20 - Giants hire

    0:33 - Dolphins coach

    3:39 - DEN-BUF props

    3:54 - Bo Nix

    4:24 - Allen rush

    4:44 - Kincaid props

    5:34 - Shakir slot

    6:46 - Knox angle

    7:42 - LAR-CHI props

    8:07 - Swift TD

    8:22 - Stafford pick

    9:15 - Stafford deep

    9:38 - Swift receiving

    10:11 - Caleb yards

    11:13 - NE-HOU props

    11:30 - Barkley receiving

    12:24 - Drake rush

    13:27 - SEA-SF props

    13:49 - TE targets

    14:46 - Walker TD

    15:29 - Darnold picks

    20:25 - Brad plugs

    21:04 - Extra Holes

    22:54 - Prison picks

    24:06 - Season questions

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    32 min
  • NFL Divisional Round Picks + Sony Open Bets (Waialae) | Bills-Broncos, 49ers-Seahawks w/ Sam Wagman | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 192)
    Jan 15 2026

    Stephie Smalls is joined by Sam Wagman to break down the NFL Divisional Round and then pivot into golf betting and futures.

    They start with Bills at Broncos, discussing whether Bo Nix can keep pace with Josh Allen and where the matchup points to Buffalo controlling the game. Next is 49ers at Seahawks, diving into Brock Purdy vs Sam Darnold, the importance of Christian McCaffrey, and why Seattle’s run game with Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet could dictate the tempo. Then it’s Texans at Patriots, looking at CJ Stroud vs Drake Maye and how Houston’s defensive front featuring Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter could swing the game. Finally, they close the NFL slate with Rams at Bears, touching on Matthew Stafford’s outdoor splits, Caleb Williams’ late-game upside, a full debate on the total, and a DJ Moore receiving yards prop.

    After the NFL, the conversation turns to golf betting, starting with a Sony Open at Waialae course breakdown, including what traits matter most: accuracy off the tee, iron play, par-4 scoring, and Bermuda putting. Sam shares outright and placement targets such as Nico, Matt McCarty, Johnny Kiefer, Harry Hall, and Sahith Theegala. The episode wraps with a quick look ahead at major championship futures, including Bryson DeChambeau, Scottie Scheffler, Ludvig Åberg, Tommy Fleetwood, and Jon Rahm.

    A full episode of actionable bets, sharp insights, and crossover between NFL playoffs and PGA Tour betting.

    0:00 – Intro
    1:16 – Sam Wagman intro
    2:48 – Eagles coaching talk
    3:55 – Mike Tomlin futures
    5:35 – Bills vs Broncos
    6:40 – Broncos slot weakness
    7:27 – Josh Allen path
    8:32 – Bills tight ends
    9:26 – 49ers vs Seahawks
    10:26 – 49ers injuries
    11:03 – Seahawks run game
    11:51 – Spread disagreement
    13:45 – Texans vs Patriots
    14:26 – Texans moneyline
    15:22 – Texans pass rush
    16:43 – Best defense claim
    17:27 – Rams vs Bears
    17:47 – Stafford weather splits
    18:34 – Bears spread
    18:51 – Game total over
    20:19 – DJ Moore prop
    21:48 – Sony Open intro
    22:04 – Waialae course fit
    23:43 – Course metrics
    24:06 – Nico pick
    25:11 – Matt McCarty
    26:37 – Johnny Kiefer
    28:30 – Harry Hall
    29:32 – Sahith Theegala
    31:11 – Major winners

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    33 min
  • NFL Playoff Dads & Duds + Divisional Round Early Lines w/ Sweatpant Jesus | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 191)
    Jan 13 2026

    Wild Card Weekend delivered chaos, so the Stephie Smalls Show LIVE is back with NFL Playoff Dads & Duds, breaking down what mattered and what didn’t as the postseason heats up. Stephie is joined by Sweatpant Jesus from Betting News to recap the biggest reactions, coaching conversations, and early playoff angles coming out of the weekend.

    They dive into Bills vs Jaguars, giving credit to Josh Allen and the Bills’ rushing attack led by James Cook, while also discussing how Jacksonville controlled key parts of the game. The conversation moves to Bears vs Packers, touching on Caleb Williams, coaching buzz around Ben Johnson, and what this matchup revealed about both franchises moving forward.

    Stephie and Sweatpant Jesus also break down Rams vs Panthers, with plenty of discussion around Matthew Stafford, Davante Adams, and why Bryce Young and Jalen Coker gave Panthers fans real reasons for optimism. They then turn to Texans vs Steelers, including early thoughts on the matchup and a player-prop angle involving Kenneth Gainwell.

    The Duds portion of the show takes aim at the Eagles offense, with honest discussion about Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith, and where things went wrong.

    Later in the episode, Producer Ryan joins Stephie for Extra Holes, featuring the always-entertaining Aura Rankings, adding perspective, humor, and vibes you won’t find in a box score.

    This episode is packed with playoff reactions, sharp betting conversation, and classic Stephie Smalls energy — perfect for NFL fans riding the postseason rollercoaster.

    0:00 - Intro
    1:02 - Guest welcome
    7:41 - Coaching talk
    8:28 - Dads intro
    9:27 - Dads breakdown
    14:58 - Dads wrap
    19:54 - Duds intro
    20:07 - Duds breakdown
    27:51 - Duds wrap
    29:41 - Early lines intro
    30:51 - Matchup breakdown
    39:09 - Second matchup
    40:30 - Early lines wrap
    46:01 - Extra Holes
    51:50 - Aura Rankings
    58:30 - Rankings wrap

    👉 Don’t forget to subscribe, rate, and review the podcast! It helps us grow and lets Stephie keep bringing the heat.
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    1 ora e 1 min
  • NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets & Player Props with Jason Gold | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 190)
    Jan 9 2026

    Wild Card Weekend is here, and Stephie Smalls is joined by Jason Gold for a full breakdown of every playoff matchup, best bets, and player props heading into the NFL postseason.

    The show opens with Rams at Panthers, diving into game-script expectations for Matthew Stafford and Bryce Young, defensive matchups involving Jaycee Horn, and touchdown and interception angles tied to the Rams’ offense, including Davante Adams. Stephie and Jason also discuss Carolina’s ability to keep pace and how the Rams’ scoring profile impacts spreads and team totals.

    Next up is the NFC North rivalry Packers at Bears, their third meeting of the season. The conversation centers on Soldier Field weather, rivalry trends, and how Caleb Williams and D.J. Moore factor into Chicago’s game plan. On the Green Bay side, they break down Jordan Love, Josh Jacobs, Romeo Doubs, and Matt LaFleur, while also touching on Bears pass-catchers like Cole Kmet, Loveland, and Burden as potential prop plays.

    Then it’s Bills at Jaguars, featuring a deep dive into Josh Allen versus Trevor Lawrence, Buffalo’s rushing attack with James Cook, and Jacksonville’s defensive strengths. The episode covers tight end usage for Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid, along with supporting pieces like Travis Etienne, Parker Washington, Ray Davis, and Theo Johnson, plus first-half and game-flow betting angles.

    The NFC matchup 49ers at Eagles gets the playoff chess-match treatment, including discussions around Brock Purdy, Kyle Shanahan, Vic Fangio, and key injuries. Stephie and Jason analyze Philly’s offense through Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, Saquon Barkley, and Dallas Goedert, while also looking at San Francisco weapons such as Christian McCaffrey, Ricky Pearsall, and Jauan Jennings.

    They close with Chargers at Patriots, comparing quarterback situations with Justin Herbert and Drake Maye, defensive impact from Khalil Mack, and rushing options like Omarion Hampton and Vidal. The final game breakdown covers Texans at Steelers, focusing on cold-weather playoff dynamics, C.J. Stroud, Nico Collins, Mike Tomlin, and kicking angles involving Ka’imi Fairbairn and Chris Boswell.

    The episode wraps with quick college football notes, including reactions involving Oregon, Ole Miss, Miami, and Nick Saban.

    Whether you’re betting spreads, props, or just gearing up for Wild Card Weekend, this episode delivers wall-to-wall playoff insight with Stephie Smalls and Jason Gold.

    0:00 — Intro
    0:01:17 — Slate setup
    0:02:00 — Rams @ Panthers
    0:02:08 — Spread feels “wrong”
    0:05:34 — Deep-shot angles
    0:06:51 — Rams team total
    0:07:29 — Bryce INT + TD
    0:07:28 — Packers @ Bears
    0:08:24 — Bears teaser talk
    0:12:53 — Weather + 3rd meet
    0:14:46 — Bills @ Jaguars
    0:15:04 — Jags 1H ML
    0:19:22 — Bills-side props
    0:20:09 — 49ers @ Eagles
    0:20:26 — “Sharps” on Philly
    0:21:28 — Goedert prop look
    0:24:06 — Chargers @ Pats
    0:24:28 — Chargers travel spot
    0:26:02 — “Paper tiger” Pats
    0:28:20 — Texans @ Steelers
    0:29:06 — Tomlin home trends
    0:32:53 — College football note
    0:34:00 — Wrap + plugs

    #nflbetting #wildcardweekend #nflpicks #stephiesmalls

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    35 min
  • Week 18 NFL Betting Preview (Lines We Like) + College Bowl Best Bets w/ CJ Sullivan & Moneyline Mac | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 189)
    Dec 31 2025

    It’s a full Weekend Dads & Duds + NFL Week 18 betting preview on The Stephie Smalls Show, as CJ Sullivan from Bottom Line Bombs joins Smalls to break down the Week 18 NFL lines they like, key playoff scenarios, and the teams and players shaping the final week of the regular season.

    Weekend Dads & Duds
    The show kicks off with Weekend Dads & Duds, featuring player talk around Brock Purdy, Jason Kelce, Luther Burden, Tyler Shuck, Justin Herbert, Spencer Rattler, Bryce Young, and Jaren Johnson, plus broader quarterback and coaching storylines heading into Week 18.

    NFL Week 18 Matchups, Teams & Players Discussed
    Smalls and CJ dive into the biggest NFL Week 18 betting matchups, including:
    Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens (Mike Tomlin underdog trends, Lamar Jackson discussion)
    Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions (Jared Goff, Dan Campbell bounce-back spot)
    Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
    Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans (Texans defense, DeMeco Ryans, Danielle Hunter)
    New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
    New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys (game total discussion)
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers
    Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

    Player and prop angles include Baker Mayfield to throw an interception, Kirk Cousins interception talk, and mentions of Geno Smith, Christian McCaffrey, Zach Charbonnet, Derrick Henry, Deebo Samuel, Myles Garrett, Joe Burrow, Zac Taylor, Keon Coleman, and Mitchell Trubisky.

    Moneyline Mac Joins: College Football & Playoff Picture
    In the second half, Moneyline Mac from The College Experience Podcast joins the show to break down college football bowl games, CFP betting angles, and the NFL playoff picture, including teams like the Texans, Bills, Rams, 49ers, Seahawks, Chiefs, Jaguars, and Panthers.
    College Games & Teams Discussed
    College football games and teams covered include:
    Michigan vs Texas (Michigan +7, Arch Manning discussion)
    Texas Tech vs Oregon (Dalton Moore, Ben Moore)
    Arizona State vs Duke
    Arizona (Bear Down, underdog discussion)
    Ohio State vs Miami (Julian Sayin mention)
    Georgia vs Ole Miss (Kirby Smart vs Lane Kiffin)
    Alabama +7 (Mendoza referenced)
    Additional discussion around Notre Dame, Florida, South Florida, and Texas A&M

    This episode blends NFL Week 18 best bets, college football betting analysis, and playoff-picture chaos, making it a must-watch for bettors looking for edges on the final week of the NFL season and the biggest bowl games.

    0:00 Intro
    0:51 Show rundown
    2:30 Weekend Dads start
    2:30 Bijan Robinson
    4:13 Falcons frustration
    4:41 Kirk Cousins talk
    5:19 Derrick Henry
    6:38 Texans praise
    7:10 Texans defense
    8:13 Brock Purdy
    9:40 Luther Burden
    10:04 Tyler Shuck
    11:38 Saints QB future
    12:24 Rookie awards
    13:13 MVP debate
    14:08 Jackson Dart dad
    15:39 Weekend Duds start
    15:39 Geno Smith
    17:47 Tomlin Rodgers rant
    19:55 Joe Burrow rant
    22:15 Jets disaster
    23:19 Steelers Ravens line
    24:55 Bears Lions
    25:51 Titans Jaguars
    26:09 Colts Texans
    28:16 Baker INT prop
    29:06 Tampa Atlanta chaos
    30:58 CJ Sullivan exit
    31:22 Moneyline Mac intro
    33:41 Arizona State Duke
    34:15 Michigan Texas
    35:07 Texas Tech Oregon
    36:21 Arizona pick
    37:21 Ohio State Miami
    39:12 Georgia Ole Miss
    40:15 Alabama +7
    40:52 NFL playoff picture

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    44 min
  • NFL Christmas Day Player Props + Week 17 Best Bets | Stephie Smalls Show LIVE w/ Ryan McKee | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 188)
    Dec 24 2025

    It’s a Christmas Day player props + NFL Week 17 ATS best bets party on The Stephie Smalls Show — with producer + comedian Ryan McKee in the co-pilot seat. We open with the holiday slate and break down the key angles behind several Christmas Day props, including Jahmyr Gibbs (scrimmage yards / rushing attempts), Aaron Jones (rush attempts + longest rush), and George Pickens (longest reception). Stephie and Ryan also hit the Broncos/Chiefs matchup with a stack of ideas: RJ Harvey rushing yards/longest rush, Jaleel McLaughlin rushing yards, Troy Franklin longest reception, plus a sprinkle of upside with Rashee Rice as a longshot anytime TD. Then it’s on to Cowboys/Commanders thoughts, including Dak Prescott passing yards and Deebo Samuel longest reception.

    After the props, the show shifts into Week 17 against-the-spread picks and the teams you actually came for: Saints vs Titans (Saints -3), Texans vs Chargers, Cardinals vs Bengals (Arizona +7), Giants vs Raiders (Raiders -2.5), Jaguars vs Colts, and a quick check-in on Rams as a potential bounce-back spot. If you’re building a card for Week 17 or shopping Christmas Day lines, this episode is your fast, funny, and research-y shortcut.

    0:00 - Intro
    0:24 - Yapper hats
    0:48 - Jury duty
    2:08 - Christmas props
    2:08 - Gibbs scrimmage under
    3:06 - Gibbs rush attempts
    3:30 - Vikings QB check
    4:14 - Aaron Jones overs
    4:59 - Jones longest rush
    5:17 - Sack props hunt
    6:19 - RJ Harvey over
    7:21 - Chiefs collapse rant
    8:23 - McLaughlin rush over
    9:05 - Kansas City QB
    9:25 - Troy Franklin long
    11:03 - Underdog slip picks
    11:50 - Pacheco long under
    12:56 - Rice anytime longshot
    13:32 - Dak passing over
    14:38 - Deebo long over
    15:24 - NBA props preview
    18:55 - Week 17 ATS
    20:22 - Saints -3 Titans
    21:29 - Texans vs Chargers
    23:07 - Cardinals +7 Bengals

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    32 min
  • NFL Week 16 Dads & Duds Recap + Week 17 Betting Lines LIVE with Colby Marchio | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 187)
    Dec 23 2025

    Stephie Smalls is LIVE with Colby Marchio — regular contributor to the show and betting analyst at Betting News — for a packed episode featuring Weekend Dads & Duds and an early deep dive into NFL Week 17 betting lines.

    They kick things off with Dads, highlighting the biggest winners and most fun storylines from Week 16. That includes Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears continuing their comeback magic, plus praise for the Jacksonville Jaguars making a statement against the Denver Broncos. The stat-sheet monsters get their flowers too, led by Puka Nacua and the Los Angeles Rams, who delivered a truly absurd 225+ receiving-yard performance, and James Cook of the Buffalo Bills, whose rushing dominance once again proved that Buffalo wins when Cook is featured.

    Then it’s on to Duds, where Stephie and Colby vent about another brutal injury-filled week across the league, touching on the ripple effects for teams dealing with banged-up quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Jordan Love. They also unload on coaching frustrations (hello, Zac Taylor and the Bengals), the never-ending turf debates, and the ongoing existential crisis that is the New York Jets.

    From there, the focus shifts to NFL Week 17, breaking down the most interesting matchups and early betting numbers, including 49ers -2.5 vs Bears, Texans moneyline (+105) vs Chargers, Panthers +7.5 vs Seahawks, Cardinals +7 vs Bengals, and Packers -2.5 vs Ravens. The crew also hits key holiday-week games like Lions vs Vikings and Broncos vs Chiefs, discussing motivation, playoff implications, and where the lines might be lying to you.

    A must-watch for bettors, fantasy players, and NFL fans who like their analysis smart, honest, and a little unhinged.

    0:00 – Intro
    0:51 – Show setup
    1:34 – Weekend vibes
    2:15 – Fan incident rant
    3:25 – Bears discussion
    3:46 – Caleb Williams praise
    4:56 – Bears comeback reaction
    6:04 – Franchise optimism
    7:36 – Season debate
    8:18 – Jaguars friendship
    9:32 – Panthers mention
    10:21 – Betting value talk
    10:41 – Puka Nacua dad
    11:28 – James Cook case
    12:54 – Bills outlook
    14:51 – Duds begin
    15:13 – Ed Cooley rant
    15:58 – Injury frustration
    16:41 – Bengals coaching
    18:20 – Jets disaster
    19:45 – Organizational failure
    21:04 – Week 17 open
    21:56 – Lions Vikings thoughts
    22:48 – Chiefs concerns
    23:30 – 49ers Bears line
    24:12 – Texans moneyline
    25:17 – Panthers points
    26:21 – Packers bounceback

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    29 min
  • Best NFL Player Props for Week 16 — Let’s Get Weird With It with Colby Marchio | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 186)
    Dec 18 2025

    NFL Week 16 is here, and the Stephie Smalls Show dives deep into the player prop market with a full breakdown of where the value is hiding before kickoff. Stephie Smalls is joined by sports betting analyst Colby Marchio from Betting News to talk through the sharpest player props, matchup-driven angles, and betting philosophies that matter most this week.

    The episode opens with a detailed discussion of the Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks, including a look at Matthew Stafford’s passing volume and why his completions and overall usage could be misleading based on game script. The conversation naturally shifts to how the Rams’ offense operates around Puka Nacua and what that means for betting unders in high-profile matchups.

    From there, Stephie and Colby examine Sam Darnold’s passing yardage and how quarterback efficiency doesn’t always tell the full story when volume and defensive matchups come into play. They also break down Tyron Tracy’s rushing attempts, focusing on workload trends, opponent run defenses, and why opportunity can be more important than raw talent when betting player props.

    Justin Herbert’s passing yards against the Dallas Cowboys get a full analytical treatment, with discussion around defensive vulnerabilities, recent performances against similar opponents, and how Herbert’s ceiling changes in different game environments. The show also highlights tight end value with Dallas Goedert’s receiving yard prop against the Washington Commanders, referencing recent production allowed to opposing tight ends.

    The episode wraps with a look at DeVonta Smith’s longest reception prop and how explosive-play markets can offer sneaky value late in the season. If you’re betting NFL Week 16 player props, this episode is packed with actionable insights, sharp angles, and practical betting advice.

    0:00 - Intro
    0:00:53 - Welcome
    0:01:11 - Rat noise bit
    0:01:34 - Plant attack
    0:02:35 - Baseball question
    0:03:13 - Dodgers hate talk
    0:05:57 - NFC North hate
    0:08:48 - Prediction market ad
    0:09:15 - Saturday slate rant
    0:11:09 - TD longshot chat
    0:11:46 - Stafford completions under
    0:13:21 - Darnold yards debate
    0:14:40 - Sanders attempts under
    0:16:15 - Dolphins game angles
    0:17:53 - Waller yards/TD talk
    0:20:12 - Mike Evans ladder joke
    0:22:05 - Underdog entry picks
    0:23:00 - Tyron Tracy carries
    0:24:43 - Herbert pass yards
    0:28:02 - Henderson receiving yards
    0:29:23 - Goedert receiving yards
    0:31:25 - DeVonta longest catch
    0:34:32 - AI photo horror
    0:36:40 - Bears-Packers thoughts
    0:39:02 - Injury chart reaction
    0:40:05 - Old coach rant
    0:40:52 - Weekend hot takes

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    42 min