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New Wave.

New Wave.

Di: Hugo Rauch
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Where the next wave of climate tech begins.

newwavenewsletter.substack.comHugo Rauch
Economia Scienza
  • #109 - Dan Brunner - Commonwealth Fusion - Is fusion still 20 years away?
    Oct 6 2026

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    New Wave is supported by:

    Evertrace: the leading founder detection engine for VCs. It traces signals across the digital landscape to uncover emerging founders earlier than anyone else, so you meet tomorrow’s founders today.

    I use it myself to source more deals at Climate Club, and I LOVE it. See what Evertrace can do for you here, or ask me for an intro and get a little something from the team ;)

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    🌊 When Does Fusion Actually Become a Business?

    Fusion is getting closer to producing net energy. The harder question is whether it can ever produce cheap electricity.

    We’re joined by Dan Brunner, co-founder and former CTO of Commonwealth Fusion Systems, one of the companies at the forefront of the race to commercial fusion.

    CFS has raised billions of dollars, signed power agreements with customers including Google, and is building SPARC, its machine designed to demonstrate net fusion energy.

    But proving fusion works is only one step.

    As Dan puts it, there’s ultimately another Q that matters: the dollar Q.

    Can a fusion plant produce more money than it costs to build, operate, maintain, and continuously repair?

    In this episode, we go from the basic physics of fusion all the way to the economics of a commercial power plant.

    In our conversation, we covered:

    → What Q actually means — scientific Q, engineering Q and ultimately dollar Q

    → Why tokamaks may be the first fusion technology to put electricity on the grid

    → How high-temperature superconductors changed the economics of fusion

    → Why tritium supply and breeding could become a critical constraint

    → The overlooked problem of materials being bombarded by fusion neutrons

    → Why component lifetime and plant availability may determine whether fusion is economical

    → Whether fusion can ever compete with fission on cost

    → Why the first customers are likely to be Google, Microsoft and other power-hungry companies

    → Where early-stage investors can still play through fusion picks and shovels

    → Why SPARC achieving net energy could trigger a new wave of investment into the industry

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    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit newwavenewsletter.substack.com
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    53 min
  • #108 - Josh Western - Space Forge - Growing materials in space
    Oct 1 2026

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    🌊 Manufacturing in Space

    Why the next generation of advanced materials might be made 500 km above Earth.

    We’re joined by Josh Western, co-founder and CEO of Space Forge, a UK company building spacecraft to manufacture advanced materials in space — and bring them back to Earth.

    The idea sounds almost absurd at first.

    Why launch something into orbit just to manufacture a few grams of material?

    Because space gives manufacturers something Earth can’t: microgravity, ultra-high vacuum, and extreme temperatures. For certain advanced materials, especially compound semiconductors, those conditions could produce dramatically higher-quality crystals.

    And Space Forge doesn’t need to manufacture an entire chip in orbit.

    The company wants to produce the seed crystal in space, return it to Earth, then use conventional semiconductor infrastructure to scale it. Josh says one seed crystal could ultimately support the production of more than one million chips on Earth.

    In our conversation, we covered:

    → Why Earth is actually a difficult place to manufacture ultra-pure materials

    → How a few grams produced in space could enable millions of semiconductor chips

    → Why Space Forge built both its own semiconductor reactor and reusable spacecraft

    → Whether launch costs actually break the economics of in-space manufacturing

    → Why regulation and customs may be a bigger bottleneck than technology

    → How better semiconductors could reduce energy consumption

    → Why Space Forge sees space manufacturing as part of Europe’s reindustrialisation

    → What could come after semiconductors: solar cells, metals, graphene and batteries

    Perhaps the most interesting idea is that space doesn’t need to replace terrestrial manufacturing. It could simply become another industrial environment, used for the handful of manufacturing steps where Earth’s atmosphere and gravity become constraints.

    Josh’s ambition is for that idea to eventually become boring.

    Because by then, manufacturing materials in space would simply be another part of the industrial toolkit.

    ✨ Leave a review: Apple Podcasts // Spotify



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit newwavenewsletter.substack.com
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    39 min
  • #107 - Julia Padberg - SET Ventures - "The energy transition is not a technology challenge"
    Sep 22 2026
    Subscribe to the newsletter:New Wave | Hugo Rauch | Substack****New Wave is supported by:Evertrace: the leading founder detection engine for VCs. It traces signals across the digital landscape to uncover emerging founders earlier than anyone else, so you meet tomorrow’s founders today.I use it myself to source more deals at Climate Club, and I LOVE it. See what Evertrace can do for you here, or ask me for an intro and get a little something from the team ;)***🌊 Orchestrating the Energy TransitionWhy the biggest opportunity in energy may not be inventing new technology, but making the entire system work better.We’re joined by Julia Padberg, Partner at SET Ventures, one of Europe’s longest-standing specialist energytech investors. SET has been investing in the energy transition since 2007 — long before power became one of venture capital’s hottest markets.In this episode, we unpack what nearly two decades of energy investing teaches you about building enduring venture returns — and why Julia believes the energy transition is increasingly an integration challenge, not a technology challenge.As more investors rush into power, SET is taking a different approach: staying disciplined on valuations, backing companies that own critical customer interfaces, and looking for the orchestrators capable of connecting software, hardware, assets and capital.We also dive into one of the most interesting emerging models in climate venture: blended capital. Companies such as Decade Energy and Enrise can use infrastructure financing for physical assets while venture capital funds the technology and operating company — potentially allowing them to scale physical infrastructure without destroying venture-level returns.In our conversation, we covered:→ How do you build a venture firm that lasts? Why SET’s longevity comes down to specialization, network, discipline and becoming a trusted partner to both founders and LPs.→ Why everyone suddenly wants to invest in power. Energy security, electrification and sustainability are converging — but more capital also means higher valuations and more competition.→ Why SET doesn’t chase the hype. Entry valuation still matters in a European energy market where unicorn exits remain relatively rare.→ The real bottleneck in the energy transition. Julia argues that we already know how to make solar panels, batteries and EVs cheaper. The next challenge is coordinating millions of distributed energy assets.→ Why orchestration could create the biggest companies. The winners may be businesses that combine software, hardware, financing and services into one simple customer proposition.→ Can flexibility markets become overcrowded? Julia explains why the absolute volume of flexibility needed could continue increasing as intermittent renewable generation grows.→ The rise of blended capital models. How venture-backed companies can separate their technology stack from their capital stack using SPVs and infrastructure financing.→ Why infrastructure capital can actually increase venture returns. Rather than forcing VCs to fund batteries, solar or charging infrastructure, asset financing can remove one of the biggest constraints on scaling.→ Where AI fits into energy. From biodiversity monitoring around wind farms to infrastructure operations, Julia sees opportunities for AI to replace expensive legacy systems with cheaper, more intelligent solutions.→ Energy security is becoming an investment category. Cybersecurity, physical infrastructure monitoring and decentralised energy systems are moving higher on the agenda.→ Europe’s fragmentation is both a problem and a moat. Different regulations, grids and market structures make expansion harder — but companies that learn to navigate that complexity can build powerful competitive advantages.→ Why European startups don’t always need to internationalise immediately. In enormous energy markets such as Germany, owning a large portion of the value chain can create very large businesses without expanding into ten countries from day one.And Julia leaves us with three lessons from a decade of investing:1. The energy transition is an integration challenge.System integration and great business models can matter more than another silver-bullet technology.2. Value capture matters as much as value creation.Creating value for the energy system isn’t enough — the best businesses position themselves at critical interfaces where they can actually capture it.3. The best founders make complexity feel simple.Customers don’t want to understand every layer of the energy system. They want a solution that saves money, removes friction and makes saying yes obvious.***✨ Leave a review on Apple Podcast and Spotify to support the show. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit newwavenewsletter.substack.com
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    51 min
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