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Media Monitor

Media Monitor

Di: Sean Wright Kelly Sweeney
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Media Monitor is a data-led podcast unpacking what’s really happening across advertising, media, and consumer behavior—and what it means next.

Hosted by Sean Wright and Kelly Sweeney from Guideline.ai, the show breaks down the signals behind the headlines: ad spend shifts, market trends, economic pressure points, and emerging opportunities shaping the media ecosystem.

Each episode translates complex data into clear insight, helping brands, agencies, and decision-makers cut through noise, reduce uncertainty, and make smarter strategic calls.

If media is changing faster than ever, Media Monitor helps you understand why, how, and what to watch next.

© 2026 Media Monitor
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  • Can the Right Sports Moment Make an Ad Twice as Memorable? | Gina Waldhorn| E36
    Sep 23 2026
    A touchdown with four minutes left in a close game isn't worth the same thing as a touchdown during a blowout.So why should advertisers buy those moments the same way?In this episode of Media Monitor, Kelly Sweeney and Sean Wright are joined by Gina Waldhorn, SVP of Marketing and Advertising at Genius Sports, for a conversation about how real-time data, AI, and fan behavior are changing the economics of live sports advertising.The conversation starts with the NFL.According to Guideline's data, NFL advertising revenue reached a record $5.9 billion last season, up 7% year over year. Streaming also accounted for roughly 13% of total NFL ad revenue, another record for the league.But Gina introduces a different way of thinking about the value of those audiences: not every game—and not every moment within a game—is equally valuable.Genius Sports tracks live action across hundreds of venues and uses its Genius IQ technology to analyze what is happening during games in real time.Its Moment Engine combines that understanding of the game with fan data to identify not only what is happening, but which fans are experiencing it and how advertising can respond.A last-minute touchdown during a close game, for example, carries a very different level of intensity than another score during a blowout.That difference matters to advertisers.Gina discusses research conducted with MediaScience that found ads appearing immediately after high-intensity moments—particularly surprising moments—generated 2X greater unaided brand recall.That creates an opportunity to move beyond simply buying “NFL fans” or an entire season and toward targeting the moments when attention and emotion are at their highest.Gina explains how Genius Moments can use programmatic deal IDs to activate or deactivate advertising based on what is happening in a game, creating what she describes as a form of mindset targeting.The conversation also looks at how deeply Genius Sports is embedded in the sports ecosystem, from official live data and sports betting feeds to international NFL advertising inventory and alternative broadcasts.Then there is AI.Gina explains that AI has been fundamental to Genius Sports' technology long before the current AI boom. But she also sees an interesting paradox: as AI makes more of the world predictable, the unpredictability of live sports may become even more valuable.Sports fans know the comeback, upset, injury, game-winning shot or unbelievable play is coming.They just don't know when.That unpredictability creates an opportunity for technology to react in real time without eliminating the thing that makes sports compelling in the first place.Finally, Kelly, Sean and Gina look toward the future of sports viewing.Genius Sports research found 84% of fans use a second screen while watching a live broadcast. Fans are texting, checking fantasy teams, shopping, betting and interacting with other content while the game continues.Could AI eventually combine those experiences into personalized broadcasts—with fantasy results, social conversations, commerce, betting and other information integrated directly into each fan's viewing experience?That may be where sports media is heading next.In this episode:• NFL advertising revenue reaching $5.9B• Streaming's growing share of NFL advertising• Gina Waldhorn's role at Genius Sports• How Genius Sports captures live game data• What the Genius Moments engine does• Connecting real-time sports events with fan behavior• Why not every touchdown has the same advertising value• “Mindset targeting” in sports advertising• Why high-intensity moments can improve brand recall• The 2X unaided brand recall finding• Buying sports through programmatic deal IDs• Genius Sports' relationship with the NFL• Betting data and BetVision• Alternative broadcasts and augmented viewing• Why comeback stories are valuable to brands• AI's role in live sports• The “unpredictability premium” of sports• Why 84% of fans use a second screen• Fantasy, texting, shopping and betting during games• Personalized sports broadcasts• How Taylor Swift fandom translated into NFL spending• What sports advertising could look like in three to five yearsGuest Info:https://www.linkedin.com/in/ginawaldhorn/If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.
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    34 min
  • Why More Streaming Inventory Is Pushing Ad Prices Down|E35
    Sep 16 2026

    Media Monitor spends plenty of time talking about how much advertisers spend.

    This week, Kelly Sweeney and Sean Wright flip to the other side of the equation: what are advertisers actually paying?

    Using Guideline’s Q2 digital ad pricing data, Sean compares CPM trends across the U.S., UK, and Canada and finds something surprising.

    Historically, digital advertising prices across all three markets have been remarkably similar.

    Going back to 2024, the difference between the highest and lowest markets could be as little as roughly 40 cents after currency conversion.

    In 2026, that gap has started to widen.

    Canada has become relatively more expensive, while pricing in the UK and U.S. has moved lower. Sean points to one major reason: streaming inventory.

    As more ad-supported streaming platforms and video inventory enter the U.S. and UK markets, supply is growing faster than demand. Basic economics then starts to take over, putting downward pressure on CPMs.

    Canada has less ad-supported streaming inventory available, helping video pricing maintain more of a premium.

    But geography is only part of the story.

    Different advertiser categories are changing what they buy.

    Pharma CPMs are up almost 125% year over year, reflecting the category’s preference for longer and more expensive inventory.

    Travel is up roughly 55%, driven in part by a shift from channels such as display and Instagram toward higher-priced streaming video.

    At the other end, quick-service restaurants are moving toward cheaper inventory as they face pressure to reach consumers more efficiently. Household supplies show a similar pattern, with blended CPMs down roughly 21%.

    Kelly and Sean also examine individual platforms.

    Social pricing has remained relatively stable, with TikTok’s lower CPMs helping keep pressure on the broader social market. Programmatic pricing in Guideline’s data has also remained relatively steady, although the premium inventory represented in the dataset is important context.

    The episode closes by looking ahead.

    If streaming platforms continue adding inventory, how do they maintain premium pricing?

    Sean expects more innovation: pause ads, interactive formats, commerce integrations, QR codes, and other experiences designed to create additional value beyond the traditional 30-second spot.

    And somehow, that leads to a debate over whether Sean should buy a “dumb TV” that won’t listen to him.

    In this episode:

    • Q2 digital advertising pricing trends
    • U.S. vs. UK vs. Canada CPMs
    • Why pricing historically looked surprisingly similar across markets
    • Why the markets are starting to diverge
    • How streaming inventory affects CPMs
    • Why U.S. and UK video pricing is declining
    • Why Canadian video pricing remains stronger
    • Pharma CPMs rising nearly 125%
    • Travel CPMs increasing roughly 55%
    • Why travel advertisers are shifting toward video
    • Quick-service restaurants moving toward cheaper inventory
    • Household supplies CPMs falling roughly 21%
    • TikTok’s influence on social media pricing
    • Programmatic CPM trends
    • Supply and demand in streaming advertising
    • Pause ads and interactive streaming formats
    • How streamers may defend premium pricing

    Media Monitor breaks down what’s happening across media and advertising and explains what the data actually means.

    Follow and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts for a new episode every Wednesday.

    If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.

    If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.

    And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.


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    23 min
  • How the World Cup Became a $2B Advertising Event|E34
    Sep 9 2026

    The World Cup has become a much bigger advertising business in the U.S.

    In this episode of Media Monitor, Kelly Sweeney and Sean Wright break down Guideline’s first-ever game-by-game World Cup advertising analysis and look at how the 2026 tournament changed the economics of the event.

    The headline number is substantial: Guideline estimates roughly $2 billion in U.S. advertising revenue across television and streaming, compared with less than $400 million during the 2022 Qatar World Cup.

    That means the advertising business grew roughly fivefold in four years.

    Several factors helped drive the change.

    The 2026 tournament was hosted across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, making game times far more accessible to U.S. audiences. Soccer interest has also continued to grow in the country, supported by professional leagues, the U.S. women’s national team, entertainment, and broader cultural adoption.

    Streaming played a major role.

    Guideline estimates streaming impressions increased from roughly 2 billion in 2022 to 7 billion in 2026, while streaming and simulcast advertising accounted for around $500 million in this year’s tournament.

    Pricing moved sharply higher as well.

    Sean explains that a World Cup Final ad unit averaged just under $2 million, compared with roughly $500,000 during the 2022 Final. In 2026, that $500,000 level was closer to the average cost of appearing in a standard World Cup match.

    U.S. games also attracted major advertising demand. Two U.S. knockout-round matches generated roughly $40 million each, while the Final generated an estimated $150 million across Fox and Telemundo in Guideline’s data.

    Another big shift came from Spanish-language streaming.

    During the 2022 World Cup, Telemundo accounted for roughly one-third of streaming ad dollars. In 2026, its share climbed to just under half, showing how strongly audiences responded to the Telemundo and Peacock viewing experience.

    Kelly and Sean close by looking toward 2030.

    With the next World Cup hosted across Spain, Portugal, and Morocco, the discussion turns to what broadcasters and streaming platforms may do next—from additional streaming distribution and sponsorship formats to more monetization around live matches and surrounding content.

    In this episode:

    • Why U.S. World Cup ad revenue reached roughly $2 billion
    • How that compares with the 2022 Qatar tournament
    • The impact of North American time zones
    • Why U.S. soccer interest continues to grow
    • Streaming impressions rising from roughly 2B to 7B
    • TV versus streaming advertising revenue
    • Why U.S. knockout matches attracted major ad spend
    • The estimated $150M advertising value of the Final
    • Why World Cup ad pricing moved sharply higher
    • Final ad units approaching $2M
    • Telemundo’s growing share of streaming ad dollars
    • The role of Peacock in World Cup consumption
    • What advertisers and rights holders may do differently in 2030
    • Why live sports continues to attract growing media investment

    If you’d like access to the benchmark report or want to suggest a topic for the next part of the programmatic series, reach out to press@guideline.ai.

    If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to follow or subscribe so you don’t miss future conversations on advertising, media strategy, and cultural marketing moments.

    And if you’re listening on Apple Podcasts or Spotify, a quick rating or review helps more people discover the show.


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    21 min
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