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On Multifamily AP360, host Rama welcomes Brian Burke, president and CEO of Praxis Capital and author of The Hands-Off Investor, to discuss why he shifted from multifamily to senior housing after selling most multifamily holdings by early 2022 and beginning acquisitions in early 2025. Burke explains the senior housing thesis: rapid growth in the 80+ population (10,000 turning 80 daily), decade-low construction, and a post-COVID cycle bottom creating low values and rising demand. He outlines why portfolios should diversify across acuity levels, operators, geography, lenders, and acquisition timing, and stresses the operator’s critical role and culture-focused due diligence. He covers underwriting using EBITDA (akin to NOI), sourcing off-market deals, typical facility sizes and occupancies, triple-net considerations in skilled nursing, key risks like another pandemic, and ways LPs can evaluate sponsors and gain exposure, including REITs and funds.

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The Real 2026 Multifamily Killer: Expenses (Insurance, Taxes & Repairs)

This episode argues that in 2026 the biggest threat to multifamily deals isn’t rent growth but rapidly rising expenses that crush net operating income. It highlights insurance as the fastest-growing cost, citing Trepp’s estimate that multifamily property insurance is up 58% over five years, with some analyses showing per-unit costs rising from about $100 to over $250 nationally and worse in high-risk coastal and southern markets, where owners can’t fully pass increases to tenants. Property taxes are also climbing 5–10% annually due to lagging assessments, and combined with insurance can erase years of rent gains, pushing some loans into distress as DSCR falls below 1x. Repairs and maintenance are up roughly 30% in five years, with deferred CapEx now becoming urgent, especially for older Class B/C assets, making aggressive expense underwriting essential.

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email: info@ushacapital.com

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Why many multifamily owners are struggling to refinance as a major 2026 loan maturity wall collides with higher rates and weaker fundamentals. About $160 billion in multifamily loans mature in 2026, many originated in 2021–2022 at 3%–4.5% with optimistic rent growth assumptions, while the Fed is now at roughly 3.75%–4% and permanent debt is more expensive. Refinancing is being constrained by higher lender requirements for debt yield and DSCR amid slower rent growth, lower appraised values as cap rates expand, and rising operating expenses like insurance and taxes that reduce true cash flow. The most impacted are 2021–2022 floating-rate and bridge loans, deals that never stabilized, high-supply Sunbelt markets, and max-leverage owners, while stabilized Class B assets with fixed-rate agency debt fare better. Likely outcomes include equity injections, discounted sales, or special servicing, creating opportunities for well-capitalized buyers and debt investors.

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Connect to Rama Krishna
https://calendly.com/rama-krishna/
E-mail: info@ushacapital.com
Website: www.ushacapital.com

To find out more about partnering or investing in a multifamily deal:
email: info@ushacapital.com