Episodi

  • A Brazil ETF Plunged 38%. They Bought.

    A Brazil ETF Plunged 38%. They Bought.
    Oct 26 2026
    October 26, 2026 - A political shock sends investors scrambling out of Brazil. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor see a reason to start buying. Chase describes adding a small position in a Brazilian small-cap ETF that fell as much as 38% intraday before closing down roughly 31.6%—and explains why he thinks the selling went further than the underlying businesses justified.

    Their argument isn’t that Brazil’s problems disappeared. High interest rates, government deficits and political uncertainty remain real obstacles. The question is whether investors had priced in too much optimism before the election—and then swung too far toward pessimism afterward.

    That same search for indiscriminate selling leads them to software stocks, including Adobe, DocuSign and Toast. They discuss how the AI trade could keep pressuring the sector, why company fundamentals still matter, and how stock charts can reveal a turn before the business story becomes obvious.

    Plus, conflicting signals from the oil market, the approaching U.S. midterms, and why Zach would consider buying an election-driven selloff if the economy’s biggest spending engines remain intact.

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    35 min
  • What If We’re Still Early in the AI Boom?

    What If We’re Still Early in the AI Boom?
    Oct 23 2026
    October 23, 2026 - AI stocks have already delivered enormous gains. That doesn’t mean the best evidence points to a top. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain their reluctant bullish case: demand could have much further to run, and some of the companies supplying the buildout look surprisingly inexpensive if projected earnings materialize.

    Zach makes the case that widespread adoption of personal AI agents could require vastly more computing power than exists today. Chase explains how using agents in his own work has influenced his outlook—and why he sees a buildout chasing existing demand rather than simply hoping customers arrive.

    But their optimism comes with a distinction: growing demand doesn’t protect profit margins. They examine Nvidia, Micron and other potential opportunities while weighing competition, financing pressures and breakthroughs that could make today’s hardware less valuable.
    Plus, why they suspect forced selling helped drive this week’s turbulence, the disconnect between uranium prices and mining stocks, and how computing on phones and other devices could change the next phase of AI.

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    1 ora e 3 min
  • The AI Boom’s Next Bill Could Land on Shareholders

    The AI Boom’s Next Bill Could Land on Shareholders
    Oct 22 2026
    October 22, 2026 - The AI buildout can keep going while shareholders pay a growing price. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor examine Meta’s financing plans and the risk that issuing more stock to fund enormous spending commitments dilutes the investors already holding shares
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    The tension runs through a confusing market session: AI stocks and gold miners fall, Apple rallies, oil climbs and bond yields drop. Is this an economic warning, investors unwinding crowded trades, or a combination of both? Zach and Chase explain why they’re questioning the signals without declaring the AI investment cycle over.

    They also debate the opportunity and rising costs in gold miners, assess the market implications of renewed escalation with Iran, and discuss why getting one big call right doesn’t make any commentator worth following blindly—including themselves.

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    53 min
  • Would Tesla Shareholders Be Funding SpaceX?

    Would Tesla Shareholders Be Funding SpaceX?
    Oct 21 2026
    October 21, 2026 - A Tesla–SpaceX combination could give investors a bigger growth story. But who would actually be funding it? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor unpack the merger talk and question whether Tesla shareholders would be financing SpaceX’s capital demands while still paying a growth-stock valuation.

    They separate admiration for Elon Musk’s achievements from the price they’re willing to pay for his companies—and explain why rising revenue doesn’t automatically make an expensive stock a better investment. Chase also examines the upside and risk of renting AI computing capacity through short-term deals instead of locking customers into multiyear contracts.

    Later, Zach and Chase question whether stronger Gulf oil shipments represent a lasting recovery, explain why upcoming big-tech earnings matter for the broader market, and investigate an unexpected pocket of strength in hotel REITs.

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    37 min
  • Could Falling Oil Prices Unleash the Next AI Rally?

    Could Falling Oil Prices Unleash the Next AI Rally?
    Oct 20 2026
    October 20, 2026 - The next catalyst for AI stocks might come from the oil market. Chase Taylor explains why an end to the Iran war—and the relief it could bring to energy prices, inflation and borrowing costs—could change the outlook for companies financing the AI buildout.

    Flying solo, Chase lays out why AI exposure could serve as a hedge for an energy-heavy portfolio, even after he questioned the trade at higher prices. He digs into both sides of CoreWeave: debt costs that threaten shareholder returns, and customer contracts, continued demand for computing power and potential support from Nvidia that complicate the bearish case.

    Plus, why weak housing activity hasn’t produced a nationwide collapse in home prices, and what a broader stock-market rally could mean for companies squeezed by expensive financing.

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    30 min
  • AI Can Win. Your AI Stocks Can Still Lose.

    AI Can Win. Your AI Stocks Can Still Lose.
    Oct 19 2026
    October 19, 2026 - Believing AI will change the world is one thing. Knowing which stocks will reward investors is another. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain why they can be enthusiastic about the technology while questioning whether today’s AI infrastructure winners belong in a buy-and-hold portfolio.

    CoreWeave brings that tension into focus: strong demand for computing power can coexist with expensive borrowing and a fragile business model. Zach and Chase discuss why they favor trading parts of the AI buildout, what makes biotech a different long-term proposition, and the danger of buying the next Cisco while expecting the next Microsoft.

    They also debate billionaire stock gifts, corporate taxes and government spending before examining why longer-dated oil prices are putting more pressure on an Iran resolution.

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    1 ora e 1 min
  • They Cut Half Their VIX Hedge—Then VIX Spiked

    They Cut Half Their VIX Hedge—Then VIX Spiked
    Oct 16 2026
    October 16, 2026 - Zach and Chase unpack a market that seemed to ignore mounting risks—until volatility finally jumped. Zach makes a candid confession: they cut their VIX exposure in half the day before the surge. They discuss oil pushing toward $100, rates and options positioning, then look ahead to Big Tech earnings and the question hanging over the AI buildout: can the returns justify the enormous capital it requires?

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    48 min
  • AI Demand Is Booming. Why Are Token Prices Falling?

    AI Demand Is Booming. Why Are Token Prices Falling?
    Oct 15 2026
    October 15, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the tension inside the AI boom: demand for compute is rising, but token prices are falling as the industry keeps investing in more capacity. They examine what that could mean for hyperscalers, leveraged neoclouds, and the economics of the buildout. They also discuss the bond market’s response to hot inflation data and the risks of shorter-term Treasury borrowing.
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    1 ora e 4 min