Inside Prediction Markets copertina

Inside Prediction Markets

Inside Prediction Markets

Di: Prediction Market Gurus
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Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. 📅 New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays 📈 Market Deep Dives 🎙️ Expert Guests 🧠 Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.Prediction Market Gurus Economia Finanza personale
Episodi
  • Finding Success in NBA Trading: From Top-Down to Modeling

    Finding Success in NBA Trading: From Top-Down to Modeling
    Oct 14 2026

    This week, Seth, aka @Soarin22 on X, joins us to share how he went from an actuary to a full-time NBA trader and built a one-man trading operation with roughly $2 million in profits on Kalshi. We unpack his shift from top-down betting to building his own NBA model, why execution matters as much as pricing and how he’s automated 90–95% of his trading system. We also go through his NBA takes from this season and his thoughts on the NFL so far.
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    38 min
  • Novig Climbs to #1 in Sports: What’s Behind the Downloads?

    Novig Climbs to #1 in Sports: What’s Behind the Downloads?
    Oct 7 2026

    This week, we discuss the CFTC’s potential collaboration with the SEC, Novig’s climb to #1 in the App Store’s sports category and prediction markets’ growth as the NFL season unfolds. Then, we get into what bettors actually want: what makes someone choose a sportsbook over a prediction market, how app design shapes that choice and why a simpler experience might matter more than better odds.
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    37 min
  • NFL Hype vs. Reality: Which Quarterbacks Are Worth Backing?

    NFL Hype vs. Reality: Which Quarterbacks Are Worth Backing?
    Sep 30 2026

    This week, @ssigsbee had his first losing month, Kalshi’s allowing margin trading and Novig hit $100 million in a single day! Then, we get into Survivor and Chris’ observations so far. We finish up with our NFL takes from the past few weeks: Deshaun Watson isn’t that bad, Ben Johnson’s not getting enough credit, the Rams are not a top 5 team and JJ McCarthy & Drake Maye markets.
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    35 min
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