You can try to play down a trade war with China. You can brush off the impact of rising oil prices on corporate earnings.But if you’re in the business of making economic predictions, it has become very difficult to disregard an important signal from the bond market.
"What’s the Yield Curve? ‘A Powerful Signal of Recessions’ Has Wall Street’s Attention" is from the June 25, 2018 Business section of The New York Times. It was written by Matt Phillips and narrated by Kristi Burns.