Experience matters

This book may have a small potential audience, but I for one, am thankful to Brendan Gallagher for having written it. His combination of military and academic credentials made him uniquely qualified to produce this priceless synthesis of lessons in post-war planning and implementation. I just wish it had been available before I lived in Afghanistan.

If you are looking for a partisan book attacking the foreign policy of the G.W. Bush or Obama administrations, look elsewhere. After reading this book, I still don’t know Gallagher’s politics. He acknowledges that the officials responsible for the failures in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya were intelligent, well-intentioned people. However, he is unsparing in dissecting their errors; the muddled strategic thought, the inappropriately organized government decision making processes, and the unwillingness to learn from the mistakes and successes of past administrations.

Reflecting on the book, it appears that presidential administrations get better at post-war planning and implementation over time. The author points out that the Bill Clinton administration learned from the 1990s school of hard knocks, finally getting it right with the 1998 Kosovo occupation. Likewise, the G.W. Bush administration finally learned from past mistakes with the successful 2007 Iraq surge.

I also note that success seems to be correlated with a president’s level of experience before taking office. Despite serving only one term, the G.H.W. Bush administration demonstrated competence in foreign policy, avoiding wars where possible, and successfully carrying out the first Iraq war. I suspect it’s no coincidence that H.W. had been Director of the CIA and Ambassador to the UN, as well as experiencing military service in his youth. Bill Clinton, whose administration achieved the book’s success story in Kosovo, entered office with over a decade of governing experience. G.W. Bush and Obama entered the presidency with significantly less governing experience. If we want to avoid foreign policy debacles, perhaps voters should once again take governing experience into consideration?

If everyone serving in foreign policy or military positions read this book, the U.S. might finally stop repeating past mistakes.

2 persone l'hanno trovata utile

Some useful information.

The author's emphasis on the dangers of "magical thinking" in post war planning, while true, ignores his own "magical thinking" that more investment of time, lives, and treasure can overcome the influence of a religiously fundamentalist culture that has a thousand-year HISTORY of authoritarian/violent governance and tribalism.

Foreign Policy Pitfalls

Though the US's inclination to become involved in a conflict may be well intentioned and even warranted its short term goals are not aligned with it's long term goals. Preparation and planning for what comes after the conflict is even more important sometimes than the battle at hand. This is another book that brings to mind that military personnel need to be versed in more than their war fighting position and hone other skills. When at all possible they should serve in positions with exposure to diplomacy, policy making, and in none military in depth planning. This book reminds me of and has undertones of "Soldier and the State" by Samual Huntington which discusses civil-military relations.

Unrealistic Comparisons

I had a had time with comparisons made between theaters of war such as Kosovo and Iraq. There is no comparisons but the author attempts to draw conclusions from their similarities. As a veteran, I didn’t appreciate the shallow inclusion of personal experience in an attempt to give his arguments credibility.