RK#461 What happens when your multifamily exit strategy fails?
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When Your Multifamily Exit Fails in 2026: What Happens Next (and How to Protect Yourself)
The script explains how multifamily exit strategies underwritten in 2021–2023—refinancing in year three or selling in year five—are failing in 2026 due to higher rates, weaker rent growth, and rising expenses, along with Fed hikes, a maturity wall, and elevated insurance and taxes that undermine refinance proceeds and sale prices. It outlines four common outcomes: forced equity injections to refinance, discounted sales that permanently reduce IRR and equity multiples, lender transfer to special servicing with higher fees and reduced control, and in worst cases handing back the keys (rarer than office but occurring on over-levered deals). Those hit hardest include floating-rate/bridge loans, 2026 maturities, over-budget value-add projects, aggressive rent-growth assumptions in high-supply markets, and partnerships without dry powder. The script advises underwriting failed-exit scenarios, keeping reserves, building multiple exit paths, and not relying on market timing.
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