EP#004 TSM Q4 2025 Analysis
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EP#004 TSM Q4 2025 Analysis
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TSMC just announced a shocking $56B capital expenditure budget while competitors are cutting costs. But is this a monopoly printing money, or are they building a bridge to nowhere if the AI bubble bursts?
📊 WHAT WE COVER:✅ Q4 2025 Breakdown: Revenue beat & "Software-like" margins✅ The "Quiet Launch" of 2nm Tech vs. Intel's noise🚩 Two Major Risks: The AI Bubble & The Geopolitical Discount📈 Technical Analysis: RSI levels and the $305 support floor
📊 KEY DATA:• CapEx Budget: $52–$56B USD• Revenue: $33.73B (+25.5% YoY)• Gross Margin: 62.3% (vs. 59-61% guidance)• EPS: $3.14 per ADR (+35% YoY)• Valuation: ~24x Forward P/E (vs. Nvidia ~35x)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Educational content only. Not financial advice. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. We are not registered investment advisors. Consult a licensed professional before investing.
📧 Contact: opalfinancial1@gmail.com
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